SPDR Gold ETFGLDCOMMENTJul 26, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
His firm has a 5-10% weight in gold at the moment, depending on the risk tolerance of a client. Most of it is just owning GLD, but at a level certainly no more than 10%. For good portfolio management, you want more than just 3-4 names.
You won't get hurt holding GLD, but individual mining names have run up and are primed to have some $$ taken off the table. Wouldn't be surprising for some bit of news over the next couple of months to knock the gold rally for a loop.
Gold? A one-year chart shows gold doing very well. Looking at Europe, Switzerland and Japan, which all have negative interest rates, large denomination banknotes are all out of circulation. Depositors are questioning why they should keep money in a bank. The alternative is to be buying gold. The 5-year chart shows a long downtrend from 2012 to the end of 2015 when it had a big break out, which is a bullish sign. He can see this going to around $145, and gold going to around $1440-$1500. To finish any big commodity cycle, you need to take out the high cost producers to shrink the supply. There are a large number of high cost producers in gold with costs around $1100. That sets the base for higher prices going forward.