Stockchase Opinions

Ryan Modesto Gildan Activewear Inc. GIL-T PAST TOP PICK Feb 26, 2020

(A Top Pick Mar 29/19, Down 28%) Their shares got hurt recently after a poor guidance update. They have been through this before. He thinks they will do fine. He would see this as a long term hold.
$33.540

Stock price when the opinion was issued

clothing stores
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BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. EPS beat estimates by 16c at 76 cents. Revenues also beat estimates at $784M. Dividends were also raised 10%. Their stock buyback continues as well. Sales rose 14%, with free cash flow at $116M. Good results. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Attractive dividend. Demand issues prior to COVID. Suspending production. Offers staple products.
BUY
High quality. Manufacturing is in lower-cost geographies, which results in higher operating profit margins and higher ROEs. Strong balance sheet, well managed. Very good time to add. Nice dividend yield.
BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Seeing improvement in sales and margins. Well-positioned for re-opening of economy. Focused on cost cutting & aggressive pricing. Valuation is reasonable for long-term growth.
HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Attractive dividend. Demand issues prior to COVID. Suspending production. Offers staple products.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

 GIL has performed well amid a challenging macro outlook, and is now trading at a 10.5x forward P/E. In the 4Q, GIL’s revenue declined 8% to $720M, missing estimates of $761M and EPS of $0.65 slightly missing estimates of $0.68. 
GIL’s management expects margin pressure in the first part of 2023 but expects to deliver strong margin performance for the rest of the year. 
The company has executed well on its long-term growth strategy by taking advantage of the vertically integrated models as a low-cost manufacturer to expand production to low-cost labour areas such as Bangladesh. 
It does so while continuing to expand its margins and returns on net assets (RONA). 
Overall, the company has been executing well on its growth plans, has been increasing dividends, and plans on repurchasing shares over the next few years. 
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BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of 74c beat estimates of 71c; revenue of $869M beat estimates by 3%. GIL actually lowered guidance but the stock rose anyway as the degree of adjustment was less than expected. RBC raised its target. EPS is now expected at the low end of the prior $2.55 to $2.65 range. Margins dipped, but this is a case of 'investors were expecting worse' and the stock has staged a very nice rally this week. 
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DON'T BUY

Does not own shares in company. Leader in generic clothing. Lost cost producer, but does not believe in growth outlook. Management changes a concern. Would not recommend investing at this time. 

Unspecified

They have gone through cycles and problems and have handled them. It should probably do OK in the long term.

HOLD

With tariffs, could see the price of clothing go up. As Springsteen sang, textile jobs are not coming back to NA; clothes will still be imported. Impact on the clothing industry remains to be seen. Thinks prices will go higher, but people still need to get dressed. Onshoring will be a multi-year journey.

Correction is probably overdone, will probably bounce.