VanEck Gold Miners ETFGDXCOMMENTOct 03, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 27, 2026. Market Open.
Gold is now trading pretty soberly on price to NAV. If you believe that the USD is eventually going to put in a high here and gold will start to assert itself (and that's the better view), then you can buy gold stocks here. Gold stocks can be fickle. Upcoming quarter may see margins pinched a bit due to higher costs, but that's already reflected in the price.
Gold remains in an uptrend, past his target of $2600. He's a big fan of the Commitment of Traders data from the Chicago Board of Trade, which comes out weekly on Fridays at 3:30 pm. Commercial traders continue to reduce exposure on the way up. Though gold can push higher, we're getting to the end of this move in the intermediate term.
We've had a good move, but he's cautious at current levels. Vulnerable to at least a near-term correction. Some charts look great, such as OR, AGI, and WPM, and he'd gravitate toward those.
Gold mining shares have done very well this year on the back of a 20%+ rise on the price of bullion. Recently they have checked back quite a bit, and this is an attractive entry point. One of the challenging things with the miners is that gold shares have become a big part of some peoples’ risk parity type strategies. When big money wants to make a shift in or out, they seem to distort prices quite dramatically, so he has cut back a little on his gold mining shares to try and figure out what is happening. (See Top Picks.)