Opinions
Ross Healy
Fairfax Financial
FFH-T
COMMENT
Jul 21, 2017
Stock price when the opinion was issued
You might be interested:
Everyone was shorting it in the 2000s, and now it's one of the most favoured stocks on the TSX. Up 13% YTD. He owns it in TFSAs. Helped by global acquisitions. Combined ratio ~94%. Underwriting has improved, costs kept in line. Almost every operation it has is showing profitability.
Estimated PE for this year is about 10x, normal for insurance industry. Has hit a high, but it's one you want to own for the long term. He continues to buy for clients.
Premium contentFFH will keep chugging along under fine management, improving combined ratios and pure momentum. Bay Street is flashing buy signals and an 11% price target to $2,600. The main drawback with Fairfax is its share price, currently above $2,300. Don't expect a stock split anytime soon. However, if your pockets are deep and your horizon is long, then FFH is right for you.
A bit of a black box. Stock price has done very well the last few years, after having gone nowhere before that. Insurance at the core, and Prem Watsa's done a great job allocating those premiums. Higher rates favours insurers, lower rates the opposite, and he has no control over what the future holds.
If you own it, hold. You may want to investigate succession plans.
This had a spectacular growth spurt, and since that time the growth has pretty much levelled out for a long time. Now it just kind of trades in a nice trading range. As time has gone on, the market has become less and less interested, as Prem Watsa has not been able to deliver the returns of the glory days. The stock price and Fair Market Value, as he measures it, are exactly the same. He is concerned that there may be a further set back.