Opinions
Mike Capombassis
Dow Inc. (Formerly Dow Chemical) (DOW-N)
DOW-N
BUY
Sep 01, 2016
$53.800
Stock price when the opinion was issued
chemicals
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DON'T BUY
Chemical companies are industrials, and industrials do poorly during recessions. Shipments are down 14%, so earnings will struggle. 7x earnings. Dividend hasn't grown in last 5 years, so higher inflation wipes out your income. Yield is unattractive at 5.6%, which is only high because stock price has come down. Instead, he owns DHR and TMO.
chemicals
WEAK BUY
Hope that it rises from the ashes as AT&T did?
Not sure it's going to rally the way AT&T did. Very different sectors. In his modelling, he's been in accumulation mode. Likes it at these levels on a risk/return basis, screens well for value. High yield is probably a risk factor at this point. Not a lot of upside potential to analysts' price target.
(Analysts’ price target is $32.00)
chemicals
One of his newest names, one of the highest quality companies in the world. Going through a merger with DD-N (Dupont). Once completed, they will spin off the business into 3 components. It has a rich dividend and growth. A recession would be the biggest risk, but he doesn’t see one on the horizon. He feels comfortable going forward in rate of dividend growth.