Stock price when the opinion was issued
Really big move, a leader to the upside. Now showing signs of stalling and breaking down. Reaffirms his view that we're in a corrective phase. Moved below the 200-day MA, not a great sign. Doesn't mind nibbling here, but expects a better opportunity in the next 1-2 months as we get through September and even into October.
He'd definitely be looking to add around $4250, the support level of the tariff tantrum back in April.
Very aggressive M&A strategy. Some of the best capital allocators in the business. Optimizes costs in acquisitions to increase margins, but doesn't necessarily invest in growth. So organic revenue has struggled, and we need to analyze how long this will last. Vertical synergy strategy works well.
Key metric to look for is reacceleration of organic revenue, rather than just M&A revenue.
Utmost confidence in management. Massive compounding shareholder value over time. Recent results were good. Behind the pace on M&A goal for the year. Could be getting lost amidst AI-driven stories. Vertical markets mean its organic growth rate is low.
He continues to be long and strong, not concerned by recent pullback.
Founder-run, founder-owned. Very strong and consistent ROIC. Doesn't require a lot of capital growth. Uses a bit of debt, but it's done very effectively because it's able to generate such strong returns. Decentralized model lets them download capital allocation decisions from head office to the business units. Only drawback now is valuation, but quality does cost.
For long-term-focused investors, there really is no better company on the planet. High-quality, exceptional business.