Stockchase Opinions

Greg Newman Constellation Software Inc. CSU-T BUY ON WEAKNESS Sep 25, 2025

Technically, you have to use the chart for adding to this one. Software has a bit of a harder time with the AI themes. Still an M&A buildout model in a fragmented space. Good growth. Reasonable multiple. He'd be more a buyer than a seller.

$3840.840

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

He entered at $1,000, so is pleased. Software is a good business--don't need business or computers, just the code. The valuation remains cheap. Good management and fundamentals. He see many years of acquisition growth. Is a core holding.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 09/24, Up 0.8%)

Quite volatile chart, but you can deal with that if you have it in the right (low, perhaps 1.5-3%) weighting in your portfolio. He'd definitely step in again today, as it hasn't participated in the recent rally.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Huge fan. The downturn is a blip and a major buying opportunity. The market misperceives that AI will hurt vertical market software companies. No, it's the complete opposite whereby these companies will benefit from AI a lot. You can't displace these companies easily. We will see serious margin expansion and an uptick in innovation.

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Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

We would not rule the company out, certainly. It knows its space and of course its historical record is impressive. It will not just sit around and watch AI. The company plans an update next week which we will attend, to discuss its AI initiatives and opportunities, as well as risks. We would give it a 7/10 for a buy rating right now. There are always risks, but the negative sentiment shift has been greater than the fundamental shift here, at least so far.
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TOP PICK

Down ~20% from highs (very rare occurrence), and that's the beauty of it. Acquires vertical integration software niche to a particular industry. Notoriously low-key, but holding a conference call September 22 on AI risk/opportunities. Pullbacks in this name are always buyable, as 2 decades have shown. Yield is 0.13%.

(Analysts’ price target is $5501.00)
BUY

Probably the best company in Canada over the past 20 years. Everyone had a complete freak out because stock was down 1%. In entire history, it's only been down once on a calendar year. Likes to acquire, but has tight criteria including not overpaying.

Concern that will suffer from AI. But company is not just sitting around. Doesn't do conference calls because track record speaks for itself, but next Wednesday is a conference call to address AI challenges and opportunities. They know what they're doing. And now the stock's cheaper.

WATCH

One of the Canadian superstars. Historic PE has always been a little high for him, but the CEO has done a great job buying companies. As for AI, he sees a lot of money going into AI and won't see a lot of revenues for a while. AI can write software, but it takes a lot of skill to put it all together.CSU will continue to exploit this. It's still too pricey for him, but growth investors should consider this.

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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

Sure, a share costs nearly $4,000. Yes, the PE has always been rich. And it's a software company in a time when software has been beaten silly as investors embrace hardware. However, CSU is what Bay Street calls a serial acquirer— a monster they keeps devouring vertical integration software companies in a fragmented industry.

WAIT

Rolling over a bit here. Part of the trend of capital rotating out of big-cap names. He came out of it in the summer as it started to weaken. Fairly sizable correction in last couple of months, not sure bottomed out yet. Still in downtrend of lower highs. He'd at least want to see it back above $4k.