CiscoCSCOCOMMENTAug 29, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 04, 2026. Market Open.
Like Apple it was sort of a sleeper last year. It sells processes and analogue chips, very different than GPU's. Is involved in networking products and services. The AI stack explosion needed their products and technology. It is fully priced according to analysts' price targets.
Kudos on that choice, because it's not been a market darling (since the dot-com bubble). Riding coattails of stronger players in the space, catching the halo effect. The old adage: "No one ever went broke taking a profit" -- good risk management.
Prefers, and owns, ANET.
Part of IT infrastructure, but $27B acquisition of Splunk really helped drive security business. Finally hit a new high (previous high was March 27, 2000). Phenomenal allocator of capital. Compelling buy. Every year, buys back stock and raises dividend.
Finally growing revenues again, he's looking for mid-high single-digit revenue growth. AI will bring a much higher recurring revenue stream. Its solutions are so embedded in businesses, he's not worried about clients trying to go it alone with AI.
Very much dependent on what is going on in the macro environment and with margin compression driven by more competition in that lower level of networking equipment, which is switching and routing. Margins are very high and have been under pressure from companies like Huawei and 3Com. At the same time the macro environment, in terms of overall sales to enterprise, has really slowed. There is now a potential risk from the transition to new technology OpenFlow and Software Defined Networking (SDN), which could easily become a big factor in the next 3-5 years and could have the effect of further commoditizing their technology. Still doing good things in storage area and unified storage stuff. (See Top Picks.)