Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase InsightsCrowdStrike HoldingsCRWDBUY ON WEAKNESSJul 19, 2024

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

CRWD has about 12% of the global market for end point security. Certainly the news is not good, but it is important to realize that this was not a security breach, but rather the company itself adding a software patch to existing customers. Of course, the outcome, i.e. a software shutdown, is largely the same and still a big expense and inconvenience for customers. There will be charges to fix this, and it could be a very manually-intensive fix. Lawsuits are possible. Competitors will use this as a way to try to win contracts from customers using CRWD. But, the stock will drop on the opening, but it will not be a fatal blow. Certainly it will damage reputation, but a security breach would have been worse, in our view. It will get a lot of media attention, but we think ultimately the company recovers over time. Its premium valuation multiple may diminish in the short term. If the problem can be fixed quicky, less damage will be done. It is probably going to create a buying opportunity in the stock, eventually, but as of now there is still too much uncertainty. 
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

$304.86

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$206.74

As of Sep 11, 2026. Market Open.

Technology
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

COMMENT

He is bullish on cybersecurity since the whole sector will see a big pickup in demand. Developments in AI will result in problems as related to cybersecurity. Risk management should lead to a pullback in AI stocks. Although Crowdstrike has done a great job and has a great reputation, he has no strong opinion, He suggests owning a cybersecurity ETF.

premiumPremium content

🔒 Premium Content Alert – This buzzing stock opinion is accessible only to Stockchase Premium

Discover an exclusive list and analysis of the stocks that are trending on social medias—accessible only to our Premium subscribers. With a keen focus on the stocks that are setting social media ablaze, this weekly feature offers an invaluable lens through which to evaluate market movers. Say goodbye to the endless scroll through social media timelines; we curate the buzz so you can invest your time as wisely as your money. Unlock Premium Now.

TOP PICK

Wall Street hailed this report as a "historic moment" for cybersecurity, driven by the mass adoption of its artificial intelligence tools. The company posted total revenue of $1.47 billion (a 25.8% year-over-year increase), surpassing the $1.44 billion expected by analysts. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.31, beating the consensus forecast of $0.29 (figures adjusted following the 4-for-1 stock split in July). Social media mentions are up 600% in the past 24h.

HOLD

He's holding onto his large position as he battles this volatility. Their CTO left, which pressured shares. Customer retention remains strong, though. The stock will find its way higher after this earnings report.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

In the security space on the endpoint device management side. Generative AI is producing reams more data, which has to be protected. Around 40x PE, 7.5-8x revenue -- premium multiple. Pretty strong margins and growth profile. In the right space of adapting to AI. Expensive for a reason.

DON'T BUY

Trades at 15-20x revenue, so the market expects strong growth for five years without AI disruption or hiccups. Prefers MSFT at a much-lower PE.

TOP PICK

(The theme of today's Top Picks is cybersecurity, which is going to be big deal. All of the AI systems will have to be made more secure. Each of today's picks has already had a good run.)

12-month price target of $192. Scale in and buy some here today, some more in the low $170s, and the final tranche in the low $160s. Very competitive area, but its advantage is its global reach. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $198.26)
BUY

Their 4-for-1 split took effect today. Cybersecurity stocks are no longer treated like software. Their forward PE is 127x. Look at the software names more than the Mag 7.

BUY

Cloud services are using a lot of cybersecurity names, which reported good earnings. CRWD's balance sheet continues to improve.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 15/25, Up 45%)

He loves the cybersecurity space but the stock has become very expensive. He advises to take a trading position and trim. It went parabolic a couple of weeks ago so they sold 25% at $758

DON'T BUY

It's 90x EBITDA or revenue--either is lunacy. Where does it go from here? He can't buy it at these levels.

BUY

Just bought it. Though software is underperforming, cybersecurity is strong. He shouldn't have sold this last February. Is up 48% this year. He's buying the momentum now. Don't be afraid of price when momentum is such a factor.

premiumPremium content

🔒 Premium Content Alert – This buzzing stock opinion is accessible only to Stockchase Premium

Discover an exclusive list and analysis of the stocks that are trending on social medias—accessible only to our Premium subscribers. With a keen focus on the stocks that are setting social media ablaze, this weekly feature offers an invaluable lens through which to evaluate market movers. Say goodbye to the endless scroll through social media timelines; we curate the buzz so you can invest your time as wisely as your money. Unlock Premium Now.

TOP PICK

In the last quarter, the company reported 1.12 USD per share, beating the 1.10 USD estimate by 1.73%. Revenue for the same period reached 1.31 B USD, despite the estimate of 1.30 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 1.07 USD in earnings per share and 1.36 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 244% in the past 24h.

BUY

It reports today. You can't replace CWRD with Anthropic for most companies.

BUY

He wants to get back into the cybersecurity space. AI threats are increasing cyber budgets for governments and businesses. It has secular growth. He will go back into PANW or CRWD.

BUY

Though the industry is moving fast, cybersecurity is not going away anytime soon. AI fears are overdone. All players will have to evolve by absorbing large language models into their offerings. Need to have some exposure, and this name is one of the top choices.