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Stockchase InsightsCrowdStrike HoldingsCRWDBUY ON WEAKNESSJul 19, 2024

Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

CRWD has about 12% of the global market for end point security. Certainly the news is not good, but it is important to realize that this was not a security breach, but rather the company itself adding a software patch to existing customers. Of course, the outcome, i.e. a software shutdown, is largely the same and still a big expense and inconvenience for customers. There will be charges to fix this, and it could be a very manually-intensive fix. Lawsuits are possible. Competitors will use this as a way to try to win contracts from customers using CRWD. But, the stock will drop on the opening, but it will not be a fatal blow. Certainly it will damage reputation, but a security breach would have been worse, in our view. It will get a lot of media attention, but we think ultimately the company recovers over time. Its premium valuation multiple may diminish in the short term. If the problem can be fixed quicky, less damage will be done. It is probably going to create a buying opportunity in the stock, eventually, but as of now there is still too much uncertainty. 
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Stock price when the opinion was issued

$671.02

As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.

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TOP PICK

In the last quarter, the company reported 1.12 USD per share, beating the 1.10 USD estimate by 1.73%. Revenue for the same period reached 1.31 B USD, despite the estimate of 1.30 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 1.07 USD in earnings per share and 1.36 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 244% in the past 24h.

BUY

It reports today. You can't replace CWRD with Anthropic for most companies.

BUY

He wants to get back into the cybersecurity space. AI threats are increasing cyber budgets for governments and businesses. It has secular growth. He will go back into PANW or CRWD.

BUY

Though the industry is moving fast, cybersecurity is not going away anytime soon. AI fears are overdone. All players will have to evolve by absorbing large language models into their offerings. Need to have some exposure, and this name is one of the top choices.

BUY
technical analysis by Bob Lang

It's been on fire since its second bottom a month ago, rising on strong volume. And there's strong institutional buying. Lang targets $600 and revisit old highs first.

WATCH

The past year, it was making higher highs and higher lows, then fell. But is moving higher recently. Is a decent change it could hit its last high. But there will be sellers at $490. It the stock breaks that, it could move into the $500s. Could be an aggressive play.

WEAK BUY

Anthropic isn't a threat, but is really a tailwind. These cyber stocks won't jump tight back up in this difficult market, though.

BUY

The best in this sector, but shares are -13% this year, because investors fear that AI will replace cybersecurity. Yesterday they reported a strong quarter and the CEO insisted that Anthropic cannot replace CRWD. Shares popped over 4% today.

HOLD

They report Tuesday. It's an expensive stock, though it's PE has been compressed when Anthtropic invaded its cybersecurity turf. In reality, the two don't compete, but are partners. CRWD should not have gotten crushed recently, but it hasn't snapped back. He stands by CRWD.

DON'T BUY

She worries that small businesses could built their own cybersecurity. You have to imagine that anything can happen.

BUY

They will solve the new cyber threats, but it will take time and money. This sell-off is probably a buying opportunity.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

These companies are enablers--AI needs them for AI to work. So, buy on the current sell-off, driven by AI disruption fears.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Is sticking with it, despite being town 15.5% this year. Is one of the two 2 cybersecurity stocks. Customers depend on it so much that he sees no AI disruption. In fact, AI gives criminals more tools to attack.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

On Monday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang praised CRWD several times, but CRWD shares didn't move. CRWD rarely declines and is always close to its high. Pounce on any dips.

PARTIAL BUY
CRWD vs. Cybersecurity ETF

They had a global outage when they did a failed update. Shares plummetted. You could own the HACK and/or BUG ETFs as well as CRWD so you get overall sector exposure as well as the leader in the group.