Stock price when the opinion was issued
* Long * Pairs Trade: *Long* CNK-N /*Short* CGX-T. Canadian long only managers always buy CGX-T as a recession proof business. It is a good company, but very expensive. It is twice the valuation of CNK-N. (Analysts’ target: $58.50). CNK-N is more focused on the cinema business. It has 3 times more screens. It is a bigger, more liquid name and has a better dividend yield. (Analysts’ target: $44.00).
It could just as easily have been CGX-T. CNK-N has assets in South America as well as the US. It trades at a lower multiple than CGX-T. We will get a better slate of movies for 2018. They are going into the luxury theaters. In Brazil you can raise your prices even when attendance is flat. It has a 3.4% yield and he thinks that is decent. They have the ability to grow and raise the dividend. (Analysts’ target: $44.00).
Consumer discretionary tends to do well from October into April. Chart shows a long downward trend from earlier in the year. Even though the seasonals are with this right now, he would wait for it to break above its downward trend line that the chart is showing, or even go above $35.