Cameco CorporationCCO.TOCOMMENTApr 12, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 25, 2026. Market Open.
It goes back to the fact that there's been some profit-taking over the past month or so. Still up 50% over last 12 months. Long-term, clean-energy/renewable theme makes a lot of sense. Fallen to around the 200-day MA, still pretty attractive from a technical perspective with its higher highs and higher lows.
He owns some bonds, but hasn't pulled the trigger on the equity. Disconnect between a 10-year horizon for contracts and the current spot price for uranium. Spot price won't be showing up in the profitability.
If you've made money, well done. Remember that commodities tend to overshoot in either direction. Don't add at these levels.
Beat last quarter, but guidance was a bit lower. Very attractive, multi-year outlook, but don't add here. About 40% growth, but trading ~75x PE for 2027. Ironically, a real risk to this name is if peace comes to the Ukraine-Russia war.
You have to have respect for stock prices at both ends of the extreme.
You could argue that uranium prices have really topped out. Uranium has really come back a lot since the Japanese crisis a few years ago. The nuclear reactor is coming back on stream, but is very slow. A few months ago, a major Japanese utility company cancelled their contract. A lot of their business is long-term contracts. They are also having issues with CRA on tax returns from a few years ago, which is a big overhang on the stock. If you have a very long-term outlook, uranium prices should improve, but she doesn’t see any catalyst for it to get back to $17 in the near term.