CaterpillarCATSELLFeb 27, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Equipment dealers are a great place to be -- pass through inflation very well, good plays on mining and global growth. TIH and FTT have the same type of chart, but not so much with WJX.
Technically, over its skis. So don't buy here. But the theme has legs for the next 3-5 years. FTT is a better deal (but at a lower level as well).
All 3 of the Top Picks today involve taking a bit of money away from the infrastructure plays.
This name plus WMT have been using AI the most and for the longest. Has autonomous and semi-autonomous machines. For those machines that have drivers, they just launched a CAT-AI system -- like having a friend and a coach in the cab. AI is being used for predicting and for supply chains.
His 12-month price target is $750. Buy 1/3 here, another ~$645, and the final 1/3 ~$605. Yield is 0.89%.
Agricultural demand for equipment sales was down quite a bit in 2014. They cut costs to stay profitable, which worked. Year-over-year they were positive for 2014. Coming into 2015, the energy crisis hit, so demand for energy equipment is down. There isn’t a real growth catalyst there. They do business in over 180 countries and 75% of their revenues is global, so they have also suffered from the strengthening US$.