CaterpillarCATTOP PICKOct 03, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Equipment dealers are a great place to be -- pass through inflation very well, good plays on mining and global growth. TIH and FTT have the same type of chart, but not so much with WJX.
Technically, over its skis. So don't buy here. But the theme has legs for the next 3-5 years. FTT is a better deal (but at a lower level as well).
All 3 of the Top Picks today involve taking a bit of money away from the infrastructure plays.
This name plus WMT have been using AI the most and for the longest. Has autonomous and semi-autonomous machines. For those machines that have drivers, they just launched a CAT-AI system -- like having a friend and a coach in the cab. AI is being used for predicting and for supply chains.
His 12-month price target is $750. Buy 1/3 here, another ~$645, and the final 1/3 ~$605. Yield is 0.89%.
Stock hasn’t done well in the last 4 or 5 months because of concerns about China and their overall Asian business. Stock sold off again on news that in 2015 they lowered their earnings forecast to $12-$18 but that just provides a great entry point into a great company. If they earn the midpoint of $15 and trade at 10X earnings, that is a 22% return for each year for 3 years. 2.5% yield.