
This summary was created by AI, based on 6 opinions in the last 12 months.
The experts discuss the current market conditions and the strategic importance of maintaining a cash position. With the potential for a recession and a market drawdown, some suggest increasing cash reserves, while others maintain a relatively low cash position, emphasizing the importance of breadth in the market. Cash is viewed as a double-edged sword—while it may seem unproductive to hold in inflationary times, it provides flexibility to invest when market conditions improve. The 'Bear-o-meter' is highlighted as a valuable tool for assessing risk, indicating that the market currently reflects a high-risk environment. Experts suggest a cautious approach and a focus on fundamentally sound investments as they navigate through the current market turbulence.
Cash gives you options to buy when markets fall lower or build more cash to be a shock absorber to go into GIC's, floating rate bonds paying 6% or rate reset preferreds paying 5.5%. You need these things at the top of the cycle--and one never knows when that it. He holds 12-14% cash now. He thinks this correction is temporary, so he'll be buying beaten-up stocks.
(A Top Pick June 23, 2017). The central bank cycle was turning against liquidity. He also thought the market was significantly overvalued and thinks the US market (but not the Canadian one) has gotten more overvalued. He thinks the interest-rate increases have done damage and that business will slow down. He doesn’t know how far the market will go down, but looking at Shiller PE ratio, the market looks 40% to 50% overvalued. In addition, in every 10 year period, there has been at least one 30% correction. He sees a potential for that type of correction now, but can’t predict when it will happen. A different bubble triggers the correction each time. This time, he is watching emerging markets. The US market might continue to do well even if there is a big correction in emerging markets, partially because of the tax cut, but at some point that sugar high will wear off.