
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts express a cautious approach towards maintaining cash positions in light of market conditions and potential recessions. One expert emphasizes the necessity of raising cash when market breadth deteriorates, suggesting a strategy of holding 5-7% cash to provide flexibility. Another expert notes the importance of cash as a way to navigate uncertain markets, particularly when buying into a falling market may not be prudent. There's a consensus that markets experience cycles, with historical patterns indicating that breadth deterioration precedes bear markets. Overall, cash is seen as a strategic tool that allows for better positioning when opportunities arise or in case markets take a downturn.
Cash gives you options to buy when markets fall lower or build more cash to be a shock absorber to go into GIC's, floating rate bonds paying 6% or rate reset preferreds paying 5.5%. You need these things at the top of the cycle--and one never knows when that it. He holds 12-14% cash now. He thinks this correction is temporary, so he'll be buying beaten-up stocks.
(A Top Pick June 23, 2017). The central bank cycle was turning against liquidity. He also thought the market was significantly overvalued and thinks the US market (but not the Canadian one) has gotten more overvalued. He thinks the interest-rate increases have done damage and that business will slow down. He doesn’t know how far the market will go down, but looking at Shiller PE ratio, the market looks 40% to 50% overvalued. In addition, in every 10 year period, there has been at least one 30% correction. He sees a potential for that type of correction now, but can’t predict when it will happen. A different bubble triggers the correction each time. This time, he is watching emerging markets. The US market might continue to do well even if there is a big correction in emerging markets, partially because of the tax cut, but at some point that sugar high will wear off.