
NYSE:C
Owns several US banks. The yield curve is steepening and the regulatory backdrop is now more favourable to the banks. The post-2008 safeguards have built huge capital in these banks and is starting to be released. Citi trades at a 24% discount to tangible book value which will compress and catch up to peers.
(Analysts’ price target is $90.30)He's trying to play a quiet offence when he's a bit scared of the markets and tariffs. Cheap, tethered, and insulated. Financials really get a bid from Trump -- tax cuts, less regulation, lots more M&A. Yield curve looking a lot better, upward sloping. Beat Q4, earnings up 40%. Investment banking and market revenue also up. Company's expecting ROE to improve to 10-11% in 2026. Trades under 9x. Very favourable risk/reward. Yield is 2.7%, decent.
Reducing global presence by exiting unprofitable businesses is really helping earnings by lowering costs.
A story of going from very bad to less bad to good. Selling assets. Trades ~7x, in line with other banks. But growing around 24% CAGR over the forecast horizon 2025-27. Beneficiary of the new Trump trade combined with cost cuts. More growth than either JPM or BAC. Yield is 3%.
Own in a registered account.
Likes the upside potential with strong dividend (downside protection). Yield curve has smooth out - interest rates also falling. Very strong balance sheet with high lending capabilities. Company moving toward reducing global presence - capitalize on the USA. Less regulation under Trump presidency will also help company.
Financial sector offers great promise, though it's reacted to current markets by pricing in a potential recession. Slower economic growth would not be good for banks. Absent a recession, with consumer confidence returning and unleashing M&A, the sector provides a good opportunity.
A less expensive choice further down the food chain from the likes of JPM.