
TSE:BYD
This summary was created by AI, based on 7 opinions in the last 12 months.
Boyd Group Services Inc. has been facing significant challenges in recent months, with reviews indicating a substantial decline in value, particularly after earning reports. Analysts note a gap between market perception and evaluation, causing caution among investors. While the company is experiencing some positive developments, such as consecutive quarters of same-store sales growth, labor cost pressures and the complexity of vehicle repairs continue to pose risks. The consensus suggests that Boyd operates in a significantly fragmented market, with recent acquisitions necessary for future growth. Analysts also highlight the importance of observing normalized claims cycles and the potential for earnings improvement to ensure a more inviting investment environment.
Weak, while NA markets are at highs. Tremendous success in the past making acquisitions, integrating, and increasing margins. That hasn't changed. Once a market darling, people got carried away. Speed of acquisition has slowed.
Going forward, has technology to calibrate the increasing number of sensors on cars, which smaller shops don't. Needs to accelerate earnings growth.
BYD trades at a premium valuation of 37X forward earnings, and so there is room for multiple contraction, which can help explain some of the volatility recently. We consider BYD one of the higher quality names in the TSX, and it does have some near-term headwinds, but largely we do not feel the story has changed.
Over the past 10 years its total return CAGR has been 20%, over the past five years, 9.7%, and the past three years 5.4%. Its recent momentum is not great, and we could see lower prices in the near-term, but for a long-term hold we would be quite comfortable holding this name.
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The shares' 30% drop is extreme. This is a growth-by-acquisition story, and this number has fallen a little. During Covid, labour costs rose and their were insurance issues about reimbursements. But cars now use more technology, which leads to higher accident repair bills to fix cameras, sensors, etc. This means they can grow more organically.
EPS of 44c missed estimates of 71c; revenue of $786.5M missed by 0.5%. EBITDA of $81.7M missed b7 7.5%. Mild weather impacted demand in the quarter. Pressure on earnings is expected to continue. Claims and appraisal volumes declined. BYD's cost structure in place exceeded levels of demand, after a couple of very solid prior quarters. Sales did rise 10%. Same store sales growth is not expected in the Q2. Certainly disappointing after last year's stronger showing. Shares are down the most in three years. BYD has missed before, and has recovered. Its longer term performance record is excellent. But, this quarter will put it into the penalty box for a period of time. We would still not view it as a sell, however, with the decline already in place.
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EPS of 93c missed estimates of $1.05; revenue of $740M matched estimates. EBITDA of $94M was 1% light. Same store sales were good at 8.7%, but below estimates (9.5%). The company blamed mild winter weather. The long term forecast (doubling the size of the business in 2025 from 2019 levels) remains intact. It added 78 (net) locations last year. Heading into 2024, same store sales growth is still positive but running below the 10-year average. The stock has been quite strong but will likely sell off on the 'miss'.
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90+% revenue comes from the US. Cashflow attributes are very strong. Continues to acquire. There are only so many rollups he's willing to invest in. Quite reasonable, but just hasn't made the cut for his portfolio. Nothing wrong with the company, but slightly dilutive on the share count and insider ownership not high.
A somewhat weak year, but good outlook for growth. Could add on pullback, but there are better ideas out there.