
TSE:BTO
This summary was created by AI, based on 6 opinions in the last 12 months.
B2Gold Corp. (BTO-T) has received mixed reviews from experts, reflecting ongoing concerns regarding geopolitical risks, particularly related to its operations in Mali. A number of analysts have sold their positions in favor of stocks perceived to carry less risk, especially in North American markets. However, there is a sense of optimism surrounding the company, with some believing it has strong potential for re-rating as it resolves operational challenges, particularly in its Canadian venture. The stock's performance has improved significantly, recovering alongside the gold sector, yet it's still seen as undervalued with a solid balance sheet and good earnings growth expected. The yield remains appealing, though there are doubts about future growth flattening, which makes some analysts cautious about including it in their favorites.
EPS of $0.05 missed expectations of $0.0656 and revenues of $477.89M missed expectations of $484.68M. Gold production was 242.8K ounces in the quarter, with expectations of an increase in Q4. Its AISC were lower than annual guidance ranges, which is a positive, and its Goose project construction was on budget. It remains on track to meet its 2023 total gold production forecast, Its gross profit improved significantly, however, it incurred higher operating expenses due to impairments and foreign exchange losses. Its cash from operations remains strong and its balance sheet is in good shape. This was an OK quarter, and we feel much will depend on the price of gold, although production is moving in the right direction.
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We have tended to lean towards large caps, such as AEM. We think KRR and AGI are also buys. BTO is a fairly large cap, offering good value at only 10X earnings with a 4.7% dividend. The balance sheet is very solid with $500M cash. We like it, but consensus calls for very low growth in the next two years, and EPS is still down from 2020 levels. So buyers need to have some patience. The last quarter was OK. NGG has outperformed BTO, and also has cash (only $35M though). But it is not yet producing so is still losing money, with negative cash flow. While we think it has potential, at this time we would prefer producers, taking comfort in the ongoing cash flow in a tough environment vs owning a developer still burning cash.
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Weakness in share price not a reflection of rising gold prices. Stock trading a multi-decade low. Cost issues, and inflation a challenge for the business. Current valuation presenting a buying opportunity. When gold stocks begin to rally, it will be initiated by a series of interest rate cuts by US Fed. Good time to buy.