
TSE:BTO
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
B2Gold Corp. (BTO-T) has received mixed reviews from analysts, indicating a generally cautious optimism about its future prospects. The stock is viewed as having been affected by political risks, particularly in Mali, which has led to some selling among experts. However, there is a recognition of the company's potential, especially regarding free cash flow, and an expectation for growth in 2027 as geopolitical issues are resolved. Analysts express high conviction in the management team, citing its successful track record as a positive factor for potential stock re-rating. Despite current challenges and underperformance in the short term, the long-term outlook remains promising with significant expected free cash flow once new projects become operational.
Gold Stocks? He doesn't like gold miners or the way they look, and is neutral to somewhat bearish. There are 1,000 places he would rather be. The chart is showing a triangular type of consolidation. It could break out, but in order for that to happen, you need gold to bust $1350, and it is nowhere near that.
B2GOLD (BTO-T) vs Alamos Gold (AGI-T) He wouldn't buy neither of the two, but if he had to choose he prefers BTO-T. BTO-T is forming more of a symmetrical triangle with the bottom going up and the top going down. You can only buy this kind of stock on a breakout to the upside. Eventually it'll break down one side or the other. AGI-T is in a less favorable trend. The lows are more or less getting lowerish. He would only buy this if it broke out on the upside.
Seasonally, this has a history of bottoming around the 2nd week in December, and moving higher through into March. Every year we get the PDAC conference in Toronto around the beginning of March. A lot of gold guys come in giving lots of good news, and gold stocks have a tendency to peak right around the time of the conference. The chart shows this has already formed a base and triangle pattern. A move above the triangle pattern will tell you that the period of seasonal strength has once again come into force. We are not there yet, but it will probably show up in the next 2 weeks.
Gold seasonality is really from the end of July to the beginning of October, but it can also do well from December into February. There is an interest rate increase possibility for December in the US. If they do, it hurts gold. Has seen gold perform poorly in December until the end of December because of the tendency for the Fed to raise rates at the end of the year. Wait until the end of December before actually adding, and then let it run into Jan/Feb.
Had liked this in the past. At this point, it is probably a good idea. Back in their heyday of 2010-2011, they were earning a 17% return, which then plummeted all the way down to zero, and has now nudged its way back up to 5%. On a relative gold to gold basis, you have an improving return with a decent valuation. This is pretty good.
Gold stocks in general have a very strong period of seasonal strength, normally from the end of July through until the beginning of October. It started out positive this year, but lately has been going sideways to down. The problem is that we are running out of the period of seasonal strength, about 2 weeks from now. Continue holding the stock with the possibility that it might get to the top of its trading range, and you may want to take money off the table in the next 2 weeks.
It has been basing. There have been some great opportunities to buy in the low $3 / high $2 range. He thinks we will see strength in July and look back to say this would have been a good time to acquire them. See his Top Picks today also.