
TSE:BTO
This summary was created by AI, based on 5 opinions in the last 12 months.
B2Gold Corp. (BTO-T) has displayed a strong performance recently, recovering 66% YTD, primarily driven by various operational improvements and a favorable gold market. Despite some geopolitical risks associated with its operations in Mali and ongoing issues at its Canadian site, there is a prevailing belief among analysts that once these challenges are resolved, the company is poised for significant growth and re-rating. The management team is highly regarded for its successful track record, contributing to a positive outlook despite market skepticism. The stock is considered reasonably priced, with analysts projecting steady future cash flow and an attractive dividend yield around 1.5% to 2.28%. With a consensus belief that the stock is undervalued and potential catalyst events on the horizon, B2Gold remains a company to watch closely.
Gold Stocks? He doesn't like gold miners or the way they look, and is neutral to somewhat bearish. There are 1,000 places he would rather be. The chart is showing a triangular type of consolidation. It could break out, but in order for that to happen, you need gold to bust $1350, and it is nowhere near that.
B2GOLD (BTO-T) vs Alamos Gold (AGI-T) He wouldn't buy neither of the two, but if he had to choose he prefers BTO-T. BTO-T is forming more of a symmetrical triangle with the bottom going up and the top going down. You can only buy this kind of stock on a breakout to the upside. Eventually it'll break down one side or the other. AGI-T is in a less favorable trend. The lows are more or less getting lowerish. He would only buy this if it broke out on the upside.
Seasonally, this has a history of bottoming around the 2nd week in December, and moving higher through into March. Every year we get the PDAC conference in Toronto around the beginning of March. A lot of gold guys come in giving lots of good news, and gold stocks have a tendency to peak right around the time of the conference. The chart shows this has already formed a base and triangle pattern. A move above the triangle pattern will tell you that the period of seasonal strength has once again come into force. We are not there yet, but it will probably show up in the next 2 weeks.
Gold seasonality is really from the end of July to the beginning of October, but it can also do well from December into February. There is an interest rate increase possibility for December in the US. If they do, it hurts gold. Has seen gold perform poorly in December until the end of December because of the tendency for the Fed to raise rates at the end of the year. Wait until the end of December before actually adding, and then let it run into Jan/Feb.
Had liked this in the past. At this point, it is probably a good idea. Back in their heyday of 2010-2011, they were earning a 17% return, which then plummeted all the way down to zero, and has now nudged its way back up to 5%. On a relative gold to gold basis, you have an improving return with a decent valuation. This is pretty good.
Gold stocks in general have a very strong period of seasonal strength, normally from the end of July through until the beginning of October. It started out positive this year, but lately has been going sideways to down. The problem is that we are running out of the period of seasonal strength, about 2 weeks from now. Continue holding the stock with the possibility that it might get to the top of its trading range, and you may want to take money off the table in the next 2 weeks.
Gold has a lot to do with the presidential election. Gold does very well when there is a spike in volatility. In the last 3 weeks, we have seen the VIX Index go from about 14% to over 22%. When you see the VIX going higher, that’s when you want to be in gold and gold stocks. This stock has established a downward trend. Wait for the stock to start to bottom at support of around $3.67. Seasonally the best time to be in gold is in the summer.
The company has implemented extremely well. The risk is the Filipino political risk. His suspicion is that the risk is overwrought. He sees them bringing in a new mine in Africa which he likes an awful lot as well as the implementation skills. Feels that the gold equities market is a little overextended in the short term. If you own, he would recommend using trailing stops. He really likes this intermediate and long-term.
Clive is viewed as a builder. He would continue to hold it here and it plays well in this period of uncertainty on yields – gold will remain an important asset class.