BlackBerryBB.TOCOMMENTMar 27, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 21, 2026. Market Open.
You could almost argue that it's an auto parts company, with its QNX operating system. Very-high-end encryption software. Transformation has taken place. Nice niche, but he struggles to understand its economic moat for either segment. 60x forward PE. Risk/reward is unattractive.
He wonders if people really want it to do well, and perhaps tend to pay a bit too much for it.
The RSI analysis at his shop is all about the price, using mainly point-and-figure charting that takes out some of the noise beyond just price moves. So he doesn't look at volume too much.
Very highly ranked within the Canadian RSI universe. Underlying trend positive. Rallying nicely since April. If you want to be in it, you have to learn to live with the fact that it's going to be more volatile.
Technical situation has been positive from a trading perspective, marching higher since March. People don't understand the importance of its software in applications that can't afford to fail. Massive run in a short time.
Generating cash and some growth. A more speculative play in an important, growing area.
Now starting to take off. Transformed from phone maker to software company. Embedded auto software plus cybersecurity. Auto software is the story -- revenue grew, margins improved, stronger cashflow, good backlog, guidance higher than expected.
Is it a pure momentum name? Blown through all its targets. Might see a healthy pullback. Definitely take some profits. For the long term, core business model has changed. On her watchlist.
Has had a bit of a turnaround, and numbers are starting to back up the story. A very different company, now focused on 2 software businesses. Embedded in vehicles globally, now turning its sights to AI and robotics.
Recent rally driven by NVDA deal. Fundamentals look better, but execution still has to keep up. She'll watch from the sidelines. If owned, take some profits.
Thinks there is value here but he continues to sit on the sidelines. This is a “make or break” year for them in terms of its long-term evolution. If the rollout of the Z10 and the Q10 comes in with accelerating sales and growth, and they can make this into one of the sustainable platforms in the mobile world, it would be a good buy but there are a lot of risks. A lot of competition. This is one you could play an option strategy using volatility.