BlackBerryBB.TOHOLDAug 24, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 21, 2026. Market Open.
You could almost argue that it's an auto parts company, with its QNX operating system. Very-high-end encryption software. Transformation has taken place. Nice niche, but he struggles to understand its economic moat for either segment. 60x forward PE. Risk/reward is unattractive.
He wonders if people really want it to do well, and perhaps tend to pay a bit too much for it.
The RSI analysis at his shop is all about the price, using mainly point-and-figure charting that takes out some of the noise beyond just price moves. So he doesn't look at volume too much.
Very highly ranked within the Canadian RSI universe. Underlying trend positive. Rallying nicely since April. If you want to be in it, you have to learn to live with the fact that it's going to be more volatile.
Technical situation has been positive from a trading perspective, marching higher since March. People don't understand the importance of its software in applications that can't afford to fail. Massive run in a short time.
Generating cash and some growth. A more speculative play in an important, growing area.
Now starting to take off. Transformed from phone maker to software company. Embedded auto software plus cybersecurity. Auto software is the story -- revenue grew, margins improved, stronger cashflow, good backlog, guidance higher than expected.
Is it a pure momentum name? Blown through all its targets. Might see a healthy pullback. Definitely take some profits. For the long term, core business model has changed. On her watchlist.
Has had a bit of a turnaround, and numbers are starting to back up the story. A very different company, now focused on 2 software businesses. Embedded in vehicles globally, now turning its sights to AI and robotics.
Recent rally driven by NVDA deal. Fundamentals look better, but execution still has to keep up. She'll watch from the sidelines. If owned, take some profits.
They are starting to go through their cash. Biggest worry for analysts is that they will run out before someone comes in and does something. There is not a price she would be comfortable in buying the stock at. It is a very speculative situation. She has one from 5-6 years ago and it is indestructible. She would have to wait for the keyboard version of the next model personally. She is therefore worried about the sales of the new product. RIM has a lot going for it and some day there will be some kind of corporate activity. Wait until Nov/Dec if you want to buy.