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Alibaba Group HoldingBABARISKYDec 15, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
E-commerce and cloud computing (the most nascent piece). E-commerce is under a lot of strain. AI large-language models are compelling in Chinese market, but that entire market is very competitive and ripe for disruptors. A trading stock over the next 2-3 years. Not a buy-and-hold. Tactically a buy today, but be very careful.
Like Amazon, they dominate key secular growth areas in e-commerce, are in cloud computer though trade at only one third of Amazon's PE. Is a modest grower, but has a huge margin of safety. There's so much pessimism about tariffs now. Wait and see, but would be an opportunity if the tariffs are more bark than bite.
Short answer is yes, he likes it. He was selling into strength a few months ago. Now he's looking to reload. On a 5-year chart, you can see the massive bottoming pattern. Won't see numbers like the previous highs again. Probably worth $125-150 over the next few years, if they can stimulate the consumer and the consumer responds.
Chinese consumers have tons of savings, so the potential is there. Buy on pullbacks. One of the best value retail names out there. But you have to be OK with China exposure.
This is doing remarkably well. What he likes is that you’ve got almost 500 million Chinese using the website. The one downside is that there is no voting control. He likes to have a vote for shares that he owns. Their growth rate is absolutely phenomenal. It’s a little weaker right now, which is just a reflection of what is happening in China and their markets. This is one you could speculate on. The multiple is very high, so take your time.