
TSE:AX.UN
This summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.
Artis Real Estate Investment Trust (AX.UN-T) is currently facing significant criticism from various experts for its ongoing challenges. The recent announcement indicates that the company will be sold at a substantial 44% discount to its intrinsic value, which raises alarms about its financial health and future prospects. Furthermore, the shift from monthly to quarterly distributions, and the considerable reduction in payouts, signal potential liquidity issues that investors should be cautious about. The company's current structure is under scrutiny, particularly as it plans to go private without any premium, leading to a largely unfavorable market reaction. Despite its diversification across office, retail, and industrial sectors in Canada and the U.S., institutional investors typically shy away from diversified REITs, and concerns have emerged regarding its balance sheet, compelling it to sell off valuable assets.
Large proportion (20%) of their assets are in the US and the rest in the four western Canadian provinces. Took advantage of very open capital markets to grow its portfolio on the asset side accretively. They brought down the payout ratio and the leverage. The distribution is over 7%. Thinks the NAV is approximately $17.
We are in the 8th to 10th inning of a baseball game with an extra inning. It is about 14 times AFFO. He thinks you get a 6-8% rate of return and nothing more than that. They are good operators. They are good at adding value. They are at a high price level and there is always a feeling they could be taken out by a bigger entity.
They issue more and more shares. This is a way to grow. But in the mean time every time the stock goes up you worry about another equity issue and it resets the price. He is concerned about how soon they did the most recent acquisition after the previous one, but it is attractive here and he would not mind adding a little here.
A great management team. Made a strategic decision to explore in the US when assets were cheap. About 25% of the portfolio is US. They have retail, office, industrial. They execute well. They will be slightly hurt by the recent Canadian dollar appreciation. They are trading nicely and not too expensive, but interest rates can get in the way.
More of a growth by acquisition story. Management has done a good job digesting what they had. Recently did an acquisition to broaden their US exposure. Likes this because of the US exposure. Thinks you will see the benefit of a lower Cdn$ show up in the NAV. The US is a bit of an inflection point where you should see occupancy and rents go up, which will disproportionately benefit this company, being one of the larger caps in Canada that has US exposure. Trades at about a 10% discount to NAV.
Management is solid. It is a western story. It is about 20% in the US. They had a hiccup related to a lease termination there. Their occupancy rate went down from 96 to 94% and it affected their AFFO. It is just a matter of timing and they will lease it back up. The payout is not too heavy. Thinks it will continue to grind higher, but it is late stages.