
TSE:AX.UN
This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts have expressed strong concerns regarding Artis Real Estate Investment Trust (AX.UN-T), highlighting several issues that make it less attractive. The recent announcement indicates that the company will be sold at a significant 44% discount to its intrinsic value, raising alarms about its valuation. Additionally, the shift from monthly to quarterly distributions, coupled with a reduction in payout, is viewed negatively, suggesting potential liquidity issues and a lack of investor trust. Furthermore, the plan for privatization at zero premium and a temporary delisting has contributed to a grim outlook, with the market reacting unfavorably. Overall, the lack of institutional investment and sparse interest in better offers makes the future prospects appear bleak.
Large proportion (20%) of their assets are in the US and the rest in the four western Canadian provinces. Took advantage of very open capital markets to grow its portfolio on the asset side accretively. They brought down the payout ratio and the leverage. The distribution is over 7%. Thinks the NAV is approximately $17.
We are in the 8th to 10th inning of a baseball game with an extra inning. It is about 14 times AFFO. He thinks you get a 6-8% rate of return and nothing more than that. They are good operators. They are good at adding value. They are at a high price level and there is always a feeling they could be taken out by a bigger entity.
They issue more and more shares. This is a way to grow. But in the mean time every time the stock goes up you worry about another equity issue and it resets the price. He is concerned about how soon they did the most recent acquisition after the previous one, but it is attractive here and he would not mind adding a little here.
A great management team. Made a strategic decision to explore in the US when assets were cheap. About 25% of the portfolio is US. They have retail, office, industrial. They execute well. They will be slightly hurt by the recent Canadian dollar appreciation. They are trading nicely and not too expensive, but interest rates can get in the way.
More of a growth by acquisition story. Management has done a good job digesting what they had. Recently did an acquisition to broaden their US exposure. Likes this because of the US exposure. Thinks you will see the benefit of a lower Cdn$ show up in the NAV. The US is a bit of an inflection point where you should see occupancy and rents go up, which will disproportionately benefit this company, being one of the larger caps in Canada that has US exposure. Trades at about a 10% discount to NAV.
Management is solid. It is a western story. It is about 20% in the US. They had a hiccup related to a lease termination there. Their occupancy rate went down from 96 to 94% and it affected their AFFO. It is just a matter of timing and they will lease it back up. The payout is not too heavy. Thinks it will continue to grind higher, but it is late stages.