
TSE:AX.UN
This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.
Artis Real Estate Investment Trust (AX.UN-T) has recently been subject to negative evaluations from experts, primarily due to its decision to go private at a zero premium. This move has led to significant concern in the market, reflected in its current trading at a hefty 44% discount to its perceived integral value. The distribution shift from monthly to quarterly payments, and a notable reduction in those payments, further exacerbates investor wariness. Additionally, with the underlying structure described as peculiar and the company categorized as small with limited institutional investment, the outlook appears bleak. Overall, experts express strong skepticism about its future prospects, indicating that investors should proceed with caution and consider avoiding this stock altogether.
Large proportion (20%) of their assets are in the US and the rest in the four western Canadian provinces. Took advantage of very open capital markets to grow its portfolio on the asset side accretively. They brought down the payout ratio and the leverage. The distribution is over 7%. Thinks the NAV is approximately $17.
We are in the 8th to 10th inning of a baseball game with an extra inning. It is about 14 times AFFO. He thinks you get a 6-8% rate of return and nothing more than that. They are good operators. They are good at adding value. They are at a high price level and there is always a feeling they could be taken out by a bigger entity.
They issue more and more shares. This is a way to grow. But in the mean time every time the stock goes up you worry about another equity issue and it resets the price. He is concerned about how soon they did the most recent acquisition after the previous one, but it is attractive here and he would not mind adding a little here.
A great management team. Made a strategic decision to explore in the US when assets were cheap. About 25% of the portfolio is US. They have retail, office, industrial. They execute well. They will be slightly hurt by the recent Canadian dollar appreciation. They are trading nicely and not too expensive, but interest rates can get in the way.
More of a growth by acquisition story. Management has done a good job digesting what they had. Recently did an acquisition to broaden their US exposure. Likes this because of the US exposure. Thinks you will see the benefit of a lower Cdn$ show up in the NAV. The US is a bit of an inflection point where you should see occupancy and rents go up, which will disproportionately benefit this company, being one of the larger caps in Canada that has US exposure. Trades at about a 10% discount to NAV.
Management is solid. It is a western story. It is about 20% in the US. They had a hiccup related to a lease termination there. Their occupancy rate went down from 96 to 94% and it affected their AFFO. It is just a matter of timing and they will lease it back up. The payout is not too heavy. Thinks it will continue to grind higher, but it is late stages.