BroadcomAVGOSELLJan 09, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
Let's look at the 1-year chart -- you can see the peak, a selloff, and now it's drifting. We've had a break, but what's more important is that it's gone below $350 and hasn't gone back above. Technically, that's a problem. We've seen this in other AI stocks. If the supportive lows around $300 fail, then stock's in quite a bit of trouble.
He used to own, but rotated out of this name and into other parts of the market. Definite profit-taking in the AI space. To get in, you need to see it establish support and have evidence that it's moving back up. Wait for confirmation of an upturn.