BroadcomAVGOTOP PICKJun 14, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
This was a merger of Broadcom and Avago, both leaders in their market. Today they are the leader in RF chips which are in every Apple device. Their product offering is so strong that they were able to get a 2-3 year contract out of Apple (AAPL-Q) which Apple does not do. They have a locked-in loaded position in the next generation of iPhones and iPads, which is an expanding market. The 2nd market they are in is automotive. Cars are all becoming more connected to the Internet. This company is going to generate about $5 billion in cash over the next year. It is generating a return on capital of about 7%. Dividend yield of 1.26% which will grow at about 10% a year.