Algonquin Power & Utilities CorpAQN.TOBUYFeb 19, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 24, 2026. Market Open.
He owns a preferred share. AQN's problem is the debt from all their acquisitions back in the day; interest rates hit them hard and forced a dividend cut. They sold their renewables business. Then, shares fell after an earnings report that lowered their 2027 profit guidance. AQN now focuses on gas, water and electric services. The street is saying to them, "Prove to me you can make money again." It's sitting in the penalty box waiting for management to show a positive move.
They spent a lot to enter the renewables space and overlevered the balance sheet. That was a disaster. They've been cleaning that up to be a pure-play utility, which is a predictable business that investors like. They have completely new leadership and have reset. This offers safe, predictable income.
It could be a takeover target, though she doesn't own it for this reason. It did well last year, up 40%, but lagged its peers. It has a history of two dividend cuts. They've done a good job cleaning up the company by selling their renewables and are keeping hydro assets for now to become a pure-play utility. They are doing the right things. It's a new, different company now. Is the cheapest pure-play utility in Canada now. Is very bullish with utilities given data centres and the move away from fossil fuels.
Likes this chart a lot -- it's a head-and-shoulders bottom. The head is at the end of 2024, with a shoulder at the end of 2023 and again at the end of 2025. A really strong technical base, creeping up on the neckline closer to $9. Looks ready to break out of the base. Very constructive and encouraging.
In general, renewables are starting to come back.
Nice beat last quarter. Energy infrastructure is a good theme. Management has righted the ship. Recent upgrade is justified. He's been buying since $6-7. Trades at 13x 2027 earnings (cheaper than peers), modelling ~14% EPS growth. Six analyst upgrades over last 30 days. Nice dividend.