Stockchase Opinions

Hap (Robert) Sneddon FCSIAphria IncAPHA.TOCOMMENTSep 21, 2017

The sector got a little soft recently. Chart is showing a nice upward trend line from early 2016, followed by some pretty big volatility ranging from $8 down to $4.50. It has broken up through its downtrend recently. The 1st place he would look at is resistance of around $6.50, which is probably not going to be until the peak of around the current level of about $6.60. He would like to see some volume above $6.61.

$6.61

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$16.55

As of May 04, 2021. Market Open.

agriculture
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 17/20, Up 93.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with APHA has triggered its stop at $19. To be disciplined, we recommend covering the position. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50%, this will create a net investment return of 59%.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 17/20, Up 132%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with APHA has progressed well. We are recommending to trail up the stop (from $8) to $19. Along with our previous recommendation to cover 50%, this would all but guarantee an minimum return on investment of 60%.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 17/20, Up 24.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with APHA has achieved our $12.50 objective. To be disciplined, we recommend covering 50% of the position. We also recommend trailing up the stop to $8.00.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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TOP PICK

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our recommendation of APHA as a TOP PICK is based on recently announced news of TLRY acquiring APHA for a 23% stock price premium. Combined the companies will be the largest cannabis producer in the world, which will allow a unique ability to benefit from economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution. APHA shareholders will receive 0.83 shares of TLRY and will ultimately own 62% of the combined outstanding shares -- essentially a reverse takeover. We would buy this with stop-loss at $6.75, looking to achieve $12.25 -- upside of over 23%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $13.00)

BUY
Some of the downside momentum in the sector has stopped. This is certainly one of the companies he would look at. It looks like they are executing and growing.
DON'T BUY
For all weed stocks: Momentum is gone. Weed stocks don't and won't make money for a long time, maybe 2-3 years. Meanwhile, there'll be a lot of volatility. There'll be a lot of M&A coming, too. This will be a flat line for a while.
HOLD
Edibles? This company is involved with another company that he owns that is involved in alcohol sales. The stock has been hurt lately. Edibles will help them, but government delays could impact that somewhat.
DON'T BUY
There was a very, very convincing short seller report as a video a couple of years ago. What they need is a huge investor to come in. He does not want to own any of the big ones. In order to be a winner at this you need to partner up with someone big.
DON'T BUY
Controversy over short-seller allegations and a lowball bid in a takeover attempt that puzzled investors. This has been rebounded off its lows but he can't accept the high valuations of these cannabis companies, some being extreme, and based on speculation.
RISKY
All the pot stocks have been super volatile. You have to have a stomach for this. If you are not experienced, don’t go into this. If you believe in the group longer term, he would not go into this one. He prefers WEED-T or TLRY-Q.
COMMENT
CEO Stepping Down. About a year and a half ago he focused on a private placement from the company that traded at a premium -- something that was normally unheard of. This created a red-flag to him about the company, Today's disappointing news from the short sellers need to be rebuked, but he is not sure they will be able to.
COMMENT
He thinks APHA-T is having to deal with short-selling threats. He is not in it presently. He has been pushing more into US cannabis names.
DON'T BUY
If accusations are true, shows why investors need to pay more attention to corporate governance. Great businesses report on insider dealings. Could involve massive write-downs, couldn't put a valuation on the stock. Struggles with concept that legalization will encourage new users. Avoids the sector.
DON'T BUY
He doesn't follow any individual name in the space. Too much uncertainty. Valuations are still high. Seems to be no margin of error.
TOP PICK

Although one of the top three cannabis producers in Canada it trades at a significantly lower valuation. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $25.56)