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David Chapman Angiotech Pharmaceuticals ANP-T TOP PICK Nov 09, 2005

(A Top Pick July 4/05. Down 5%.) It is hard trying to read companies in the health care sector, but this one has had a long base with a lot of series of lows which seems to be that it is getting ready for a pop. All his picks are for a seasonal Santa Claus rally trade. If they move 20%, say thank you and get the heck out.

David Chapman

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$16.780

Stock price when the opinion was issued

biotechnology pharmaceutical

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BUY

The worst news is already in the stock. At these levels, it's a Buy. Have product pipeline starting to develop. Looking at drug eluding stents in the Japanese market.

COMMENT

Makes drug alluding stents. Its penetration rate in the US was 75% but has dropped to 65%. Will be launching in Japan in the fall. Have a lot of debt on the balance sheet and are in the process of selling assets.

DON'T BUY

They're very focused on one part of the business, which is stents. There is a lot of competition in this sector. Revenue projections have been dropping.

SELL

A one trick pony with its coated stent. There is lots of controversy on drug coated stents.

SELL

The whole market is going up, and this one is going down. Let someone else own it.

HOLD

Have had serious problems with their stents. The whole area is having issues. Excellent management. They have big pipeline and the technology is still excellent.

COMMENT

The stock has been hurt, but it is more of an issue because of stents. Sales projections are falling off. At this stage, you are probably facing tax loss selling for the rest of the month and then get a January bounce if the company has a decent outlook going forward. Competition has increased in this area.

DON'T BUY

Had 2 approvals, May 27 and June 8. This is on his Watch list but was far more interesting before May 27 so it now holds no interest for him. Might be okay for momentum players.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

(Market Call Minute.) A lot of biotech stocks have done well. Would buy on a pullback.

DON'T BUY

What hurts them was they levered up for an acquisition using debt at the wrong time and have never been able to get out from under that cloud of debt and he doesn't think they will.

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David Chapman Angiotech Pharmaceuticals ANP-T TOP PICK Nov 09, 2005

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