Advanced Micro DevicesAMDHOLDJul 17, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 07, 2026. Market Open.
Last November, the CEO projected that her CPU market would grow 18%, but now it's really 35%. CPUs are their core business. Shares soared over 18% today and enjoyed upgrades. Also, their latest quarter blew away estimates. Shares are up 97% this year. The AI stocks are catching up to overwhelming demand from their customers.
Has become a show-me story. Issues with earnings and other ups and downs. Moving above 200-day MA, but NVDA is the better choice.
Be careful of hyperscalers that are spending $100s of billions in capex. Mag 7 has become more of a Lag 7. AI story is very much alive, but how do you play it? See his Top Picks.
Trying to become the credible #2 behind NVDA, and CEO says 2026 will be important in that push. New AI chips are ramping out. Competition will go beyond individual chips to the arena of data centres. Execution story. Fundamentals rank 8/10, analysts are between Buy and Hold. Upside of about 40%.
Challenge is that software ecosystem of NVDA is built around its tools. AMD still has meaningful upside if AI spending continues at the same pace.
She owns NVDA instead, which is the more dominant player. Also owns names like MSFT, AMZN, and GOOG, who are all spending $$ on those chips.
(Note the shortish timeframe.) We should have done the show yesterday ;) Chips are commodities now, and commodities are cyclical. If go-forward projections aren't as expected, then the stocks get hit. He probably wouldn't sell today, but has been piecing out his position over the last couple of months.
Likes to watch the semiconductors as an indicator for economic expectations. This group has led the rally over the last number of years, regularly checking back to the 200-week MA (as in March/April of this year). Rallied nicely since then. NVDA is obviously the leader and making new all-time highs. Semi index in the US has not made a new high, and that's a little something to think about especially when the market it. Its RSI has come off the deep low, so there's no issue in the short-term.
This name is performing very well. Semis are giving good messaging right now. He'd really love to see the semiconductor index make a new high, and that's the caveat. This one will pick up market share, but he'd prefer to be with the leader NVDA.