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Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO)

BUY ON WEAKNESS
The takeover of the French company was good for synergies of their product line. Sees further upside for the year. Might be a good name to average in on pullbacks.
TOP PICK
(A top pick December 16/03. Up 8%.) Believe in the resources area. Aluminum has lagged the rally and China will be creating a big demand. The merger with Pecheny will be very accretive to their earnings.
BUY
Released some very positive numbers for the fourth quarter. Momentum is positive. Sees better prospects for aluminum.
TOP PICK
Could see a deficit in the aluminum commodity. Good management team.
TOP PICK
Looks like 15x earnings, 7-8x cash flow. Could see low $70's this year.
BUY
One of our favorite stocks. Would buy at a pull back of low to mid $50's. Target of $70-80
PAST TOP PICK
(Was a top pick december 10th, Down 1.2%) Still like it, one of my biggest holdings. Have a lot of nice new things in Europe.
DON'T BUY
Model price is $53.58. Doesn't see big value here.
BUY
Like Alcan. Medium term outlook (12-18 months) its a good investment
PAST TOP PICK
(Was a Top pick Nov 24/03. Up 10%.) The Pechne deal is now closed.
TOP PICK
Great growth opportunity ahead of them. Have proven they can do acquisitions and integrate them. Bullish outlook for demand of aluminum by China.
TOP PICK
The acquisition of the French company will be very accretive. Metal prices are going up.
BUY
Has huge earnings leverage.
TOP PICK
Commodity price has been lagging. Their French acquisition gives opportunities for more synergies. Likes management.
DON'T BUY
Base metals got out of hand and rose too high and are now falling back. Inventory levels of aluminum are not very low.
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