Laura WallaceAlcan AluminumAL.TOPAST TOP PICKAug 21, 2006
(A Top Pick May 17/06. Down 11.4%.) Reported great 2nd quarter results. The Kitimat expansion has been announced which is positive. This is a decent entry point if you don't own. Earnings should be very strong in 2007.
There is a takeover bid in play. (caller asked how) To sell your shares, you can tender your shares, (call your broker), or sell on the market. Recommends tendering.
Has been a long term favorite of hers. Has just had a big pop, and they sold some.Expects the company to go higher.They've maintained a conservative balance sheet.
Early on in the process of a bidding war. If you own, continue to hold. Main risk is a Pac Man defence where Alcan tries to buy Alcoa (AA-N). You might lock in a bit of profit at this point.
Stock had a good top because of the offer from Alcoa (AA-N). Whatever happens to the price of aluminum in the near term will not be based on fundamentals. A lot of variables are going on, so there is no assurance the stock will go higher. If you own, take some partial profits.
In the case ALcan and BCE there are various parties who are interested, and there isn't much downside. Could go a fair bit higher, if other players come in.
Getting closer to the end of the cycle in commodities. Would be a little cautious on aluminum. Some speculation on consolidations, but doesn't expect there will be a lot more money made on this stock.