Stock price when the opinion was issued
Yesterday, he took just a little bit of gold out; on a 14% weighting, he sold around 2%. Doesn't own this one right now. If you're a longer-term player, gold has lots of room to go.
Gold looks a bit extended (temporarily). You can see that on the AEM chart; the breakout was around $80, had a good move, and now it's arcing off of the trendline.
Gold can certainly correct but it is difficult to forecast and the reasons will vary. Gold has had five annual losses since 2005, including -51% in 2011 and -46% in 2013. The US dollar and interest rates are the biggest drivers (good and bad). Companies with good cost control such as AEM have very good leverage to price moves. At $5000 gold, we would be fairly sure AEM would trade above $300. It is 23x earnings today. We would be fine buying in the $235 range.
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Good company, but hard to buy right now. The only gold producer she owns. Yield is less than 1%, which no longer gives you much of a buffer; you're really banking on the stock price maintaining these levels. Stock more than doubled last year, up 72% this year. 90% of assets in really good jurisdictions.
Needs to see some steam come off the valuation before putting new $$ in.