Stockchase Opinions

Christine Poole Abbott Labs ABT-N TOP PICK Mar 15, 2022

Has owned this for years, but is buying at current prices. They make the Covid-testing kits, totalling $10 billion revenues. Demand here will likely soften. The stock price is flat over the year, despite those revenues, but at least the cash flow from the testing can lead to more products and acquisition. They forecast they can grow revenues around 9%. Attractive stock price now. Diagnostic and medical devices are good business. Pharmas are selling to emerging markets. Their glucose monitoring system is doing well. Their heart products are a new source of growth. Attractive PE. (Analysts’ price target is $139.72)

$116.960

Stock price when the opinion was issued

biotechnology pharmaceutical
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BUY

They reported solid numbers today and considered raising their full-year forecast but then the tariffs hit, but maintained guidance, which is positive enough in this market. Shares jumped 2.76% today. A weaker USD helps too.

BUY

Their forward PE suggests an explosion, coming from their diabetes device, Libra. A fine CEO who will settle their lawsuits. Is up 17% this year.

WATCH

In general, he's had almost no healthcare exposure for the last year. Relative price performance for the group has been weak. That said, he's seeing some improvement around the edges. 

He always looks for what's held up better than the rest, and this name would fit. Performed better than 78% of S&P stocks over the last 52 weeks. Technically, made a series of higher lows. More of its earnings estimates have moved higher than lower, so earnings momentum revision is decent. Hasn't technically broken out, so he's not there yet. If you own it, hold.

BUY

Is defensive and not a target like the pharmas. Abbott is in testing and diagnostics, a steady business reflected in their numbers.

WAIT

It reports Thursday. Wait for the report first. They are always misinterpreted during earnings which annoys him. He likes ABT.

WAIT

He always starts with what universe are we operating in and how's it performing? Likes the market, but healthcare (pharma, biotech, healthcare providers, devices) has been about the weakest RSI sector. Was performing better than the group, but today narrowed guidance. Technically broken. Wait for healthcare technicals to improve.

TOP PICK

Diversified. Over 60% of sales come from outside US, so a more globally balanced name in the sector. 10/10 on fundamentals. Medical devices division has had 10 straight quarters of 10+% growth with momentum in epilepsy, diabetes, and heart failure. Focusing on growing its core lab-testing platform and expanding diagnostic footprint in non-Covid areas. 

Steady margins, no change to full-year earnings guidance. Trades at a premium, but stronger ROI forecast. Sees upside potential of ~14% from here. Yield is 1.91%.

(Analysts’ price target is $141.89)
TOP PICK

A diversified medical equipment company, including portable diagnostics, critical care in ambulances, and remote care. They made big acquisitions a few years ago. Is a safe way to play the health space recovery. Pharma is established and nutrition (Ensure) which are slower-growth, but provide stability and cash flow.

(Analysts’ price target is $141.89)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 14/24, Up 21%)

Pharma is in the penalty box, but medical devices are not (so far). Organic growth in the core business is nearly 10%, strong. They enjoy massive demographic support. The PE is around a low 20x PE. Has strong growth. Wait for a pullback to enter.

BUY

Very stable and pays a nice, reliable dividend (rising over the last 60 years). Many buy this for the safe dividend. Expect modest capital appreciation. Safe.