Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Jim Cramer - Mad Money commented about whether TSLA-Q, NVDA-Q, MSFT-Q, META-Q, AAPL-Q, AMZN-Q, GOOG-Q, BA-N, GM-N, WSM-N, SPOT-N, ROKU-Q, NFLX-Q, NEM-N, PM-N, SMCI-Q, CVS-N, GS-N, MRK-N, BNDX-Q, BSV-N, VYM-N, DGRO, ZFH-T, ZWC-T, ZWU-T, PRIV-N are stocks to buy or sell.
Actually, incorrect. If the US economy is doing very well, the Fed will raise, not cut, interest rates. You can't rely on Fed policy to know what the broader bond market will do. BSV is short-term bonds and much more correlated than BNDX which is about the broader bond market.
Actually, incorrect. If the US economy is doing very well, the Fed will raise, not cut, interest rates. You can't rely on Fed policy to know what the broader bond market will do. BSV is short-term bonds and much more correlated than BNDX which is about the broader bond market.
We're likely oversold and will see no more than a dead-cat bounce today (stocks rallied on tariff reports). Based on two podcasts he recently heard, it sounds like Trump wants to shift from a taxed-work economy to a taxed-consumption economy largely through tariffs. He expects the tariffs to be far more aggressive than the market thinks. April 2 is a big day. Today's rally is misplaced. He likes the consumption tax for spending more, whereas the harder you work, you should pay less tax. Long-run, this policy will benefit the US, but be very disruptive in the short term, creating sticky inflation. He doesn't love Trump's style, but Larry thinks he needs to do this. The chart shows resistance at the 200-day moving average and a Fibonacci at 38.2%. The market has been toying at 5,750 on the S&P all day. If we can close above there, we could rally to 5,900. We'll see if we reach new highs above 5,900 after April 2, but he strongly doubts it. The tariffs will be much harder than the market expects and we'll see more choppy volatility, and likely fall below that 5,500 low. Bottom line: caution.
Is up 50.5% this year, benfitting from chief rival Walgreens are going private, and CVS' managed care business, Aetna, is putting up better numbers. CVS got too cheap last year, but mounted a comeback after hiring a new CEO. But it remains a drugstore chain, which he doesn't like, given Amazon's dominance.
Up 26% this year. After buying Newcrest, it became the top gold miner in the world, also mining copper, silver, zinc and lead around the world. Last month they reported a robust quarter: top and bottom line beat with stronger than expected gold production, but their full-year forecast disappointed. That's why shares sold off but have mostly recovered. Trades under 14x 2025 PE, a discount to Agnico Eagle, which is his favourite gold stock, trading at 22x PE tough boasts better growth. NEM buys back a lot of shares.
He and Lang suggests consumer-oriented stocks with a subscription base that work even in a slowdown: Netflix, Roku and Spotify. Last January, NFLX reported a super quarter, then shares gapped up, but rolled over mid-February with the market. Lang says that was a reset. Shares have been rebounding ever since, now 9% this year. NFLX has resistance at $1,000, but if it breaks that, Lang thinks it can reach $1,250. A momentum indicator--MACD--recently made a bullish crossover. Meanwhile, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is slightly bullish; big buyers are still buying. RSI is starting to bounce after hitting oversold earlier this month, now around 50, so there's a ways to go before being overbought.
Remember that a GIC and dividend stock have different levels of risk. Consider preferred shares and covered call ETFs like ZWC which gives broad exposure to Canadian dividends with a covered call overlay. ZWU, too, which is an alternative to fixed income, but gives equity market risk.