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TOP PICK

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. The company operates through Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture, sale, and lease of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. The Energy Generation and Storage segment is involved in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of solar energy systems incentives. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, TX. Social media mentions are up 124% in the past 24h.

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🔒 Premium Content Alert – This buzzing stock opinion is accessible only to Premium members

Discover an exclusive list and analysis of the stocks that are trending on social medias—accessible only to our Premium subscribers. With a keen focus on the stocks that are setting social media ablaze, this weekly feature offers an invaluable lens through which to evaluate market movers. Say goodbye to the endless scroll through social media timelines; we curate the buzz so you can invest your time as wisely as your money. Unlock Premium Now.

TOP PICK

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a package delivery company. The Company is a provider of global supply chain management solutions. The Company operates through three segments: U.S. Domestic Package operations, International Package operations, and Supply Chain & Freight operations. As of December 31, 2016, the Company delivered packages in over 220 countries and territories. The Company offers a spectrum of the United States domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes the small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain & Freight segment includes its forwarding and logistics services, truckload freight brokerage, UPS Freight and its financial offerings through UPS Capital. The Company serves the global market for logistics services, which include transportation, distribution, contract logistics and ground freight. Social media mentions are up 2500% in the past 24h.

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🔒 Premium Content Alert – This buzzing stock opinion is accessible only to Premium members

Discover an exclusive list and analysis of the stocks that are trending on social medias—accessible only to our Premium subscribers. With a keen focus on the stocks that are setting social media ablaze, this weekly feature offers an invaluable lens through which to evaluate market movers. Say goodbye to the endless scroll through social media timelines; we curate the buzz so you can invest your time as wisely as your money. Unlock Premium Now.

TOP PICK

Apple, Inc engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak in 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA. Social media mentions are up 300% in the past 24h.

COMMENT
US 10-year bond yield has moved up.

Broadly speaking, yes, it does increase borrowing costs. But at the other end of the spectrum, you have to think about what's happening in credit spreads. Since 2023, credit spreads have contracted about 50%. So he thinks it's actually a pretty conducive market for financing costs right now, for both private and public markets.

He thinks transactions will pick up in 2025, which would be a great catalyst for publicly traded companies.

COMMENT
Focus right now.

Broadly speaking, a sustained commercial real estate recovery is underway. Likes sectors that can act defensively, as well as those that offer growth. In the office space, he's looking for companies with trophy buildings, compelling supply/demand fundamentals, trading at discounts, growing cashflows.

The data centre sector is one he really likes, with really compelling demand factors and supply trying to keep up. Industrial warehouses are also a favourite, and the biggest sector allocation in his fund. Some slowing rent stats, but the gap between in-place rents and market rents is still very wide. Many positive secular demand forces on industrial fundamentals. Pockets of residential that he's positive on, such as manufactured housing communities. Grocery-anchored shopping centres have very defensive cashflows, with the most compelling supply/demand characteristics we've seen in many years.

DON'T BUY

Office REIT, with 3/4 of its portfolio in Philadelphia and 20% or so in Austin TX. Far off pre-pandemic highs. Office market is challenged. Very high yield of over 10%, which attracts certain investors; but paying out more than it earns. Dividend sustainability is in question.

DON'T BUY

Doing the best it can, but fundamentals have been really difficult. Vacancy rates are quite high. Sold off data centre assets to build up balance sheet, but then acquired more assets. Distribution coverage not what it once was. Yield is ~10%.

HOLD

Doing the right things, but public market is not rewarding it. Selling assets piecemeal until the REIT is liquidated, now about 50%, and distributed income to investors. Hold on, still lots of value. Could buy comfortably here as it's trading below $2.50 per share, but assets arguably are worth $3.

BUY

Very defensive, trades at nice discount. Loblaw is a safe and secure tenant. Growing part of portfolio is industrial warehousing, a sector he's bullish on. Safe distribution. Very comfortable owing for next 12-18 months, as a broader REIT recovery should be near.

BUY

Future looks good. Never raises equity. Over half of the portfolio is in Alberta, with another big chunk in BC. Undervalued. Alberta is seeing record migration from elsewhere in Canada. Discount to NAV, likes the sector.

HOLD

Performed well, but up against a lot of new construction in their markets. Difficult to raise rents in 2024. Trades at discount to NAV. If you like a stock levered to the US economy and US dollar, not a bad name. If you own it, hold. Earnings won't necessarily inflect materially this year, but over the long term you should be in a good spot.

HOLD
Does dividend cut mean it's now in a good financial spot?

Yes, in much better position today than previously. Management transition. Hard to see it going back to $10 levels anytime soon. Decent job allocating capital (ie. selling assets) to pay down debt. Enough to pay March debentures. Risk/reward not that compelling.

HOLD

Good job on capital allocation. Trades at wide discount to private market value. Macro for Canadian apartment fundamentals has been somewhat lackluster. Lots of competitive new supply. Housing costs are unaffordable, so low rental turnover. Rent controls limit increases. Very safe distribution. Need patience for Canada's economic picture to improve.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 30/23, Down 4%)

Great run up to his target price of $90, so he trimmed. Buying back now at attractive levels. Strong earnings results continue. Alberta is affordable and seeing migration.