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The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki United Parcel Services UPS-N TOP PICK Jan 30, 2025

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a package delivery company. The Company is a provider of global supply chain management solutions. The Company operates through three segments: U.S. Domestic Package operations, International Package operations, and Supply Chain & Freight operations. As of December 31, 2016, the Company delivered packages in over 220 countries and territories. The Company offers a spectrum of the United States domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes the small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain & Freight segment includes its forwarding and logistics services, truckload freight brokerage, UPS Freight and its financial offerings through UPS Capital. The Company serves the global market for logistics services, which include transportation, distribution, contract logistics and ground freight. Social media mentions are up 2500% in the past 24h.

The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki

Unknown

$115.060

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Transportation

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DON'T BUY

Trades at 17x forward earnings.

Guided down in a very competitive space. Down 34% over 3 years. Consumers are slowing down, and this may significantly hurt volumes.

WEAK BUY

It is OK for a long term play and pays a dividend. Everyone uses it so it is a safe investment but not very exciting. What happens if the U.S. economy slows down.

DON'T BUY

It's gone down so much and there's more fear heading into the holiday season. You get the 5% dividend yield, but share remain too expensive.

BUY

A dividend pick for 2025. Is down a lot from their highs. A contrarian play. It pays around a 5% dividend yield. It trades at a reasonable valuation and offers decent earnings growth in 2025 of 5-7%. Collect the dividend and enjoy a little capital appreciation on top. You won't shoot the lights out, but you can relax with this steady earner.

WEAK BUY

Leans more domestic. Very profitable, historical 20% ROE. Very good dividend and historically stable, though payout ratio is getting uncomfortably high so be careful. Good growth. Lots of opportunity to enhance efficiencies.

DON'T BUY

Is -16% the past year, and yields 5%. After reading an article today about UPS, he'd rather buy FedEx.

DON'T BUY

He questions their strategy. Prefers FedEx.

DON'T BUY

Business isn't good for them (or FedEx). Shares are -20% this year. They seem to be getting their act together, but it's tough to own.

DON'T BUY

Transport stocks in general have been weak. One of the weakest stocks in the sector. Execution problems. He's the last guy to try to pick a bottom. Yield is 7%, without huge coverage. Doesn't expect dividend cut, but doesn't inspire confidence when entire earnings go to pay the dividend. Stay away.

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