ASML Holding (ASML-Q)

Great opportunity to pick up 4 pillars. MU on the manufacturing, TSM for the foundry, LRCX or KLAC or ASML as the equipment suppliers, NVDA is a gift down here as a designer. And (he can't believe he's going to say this) even INTC; come 2025, it will be competitive with NVDA.

They report next week. They've sold out their EUV product. Their last quarter surprised him. It's a pretty good set up for them now, but it's not cheap. He's holding.

Continues to like and accumulate for clients. Their monopoly gives them pricing power. Rising 200-day MA, with the stock price above it. Technically, very strong. Forecasted 18-20% earnings growth.

Just announced that Taiwan Semi will spend $12 billion on their EUV machines. ASML has a huge wait list for its products, a 20-month wait.

His 12-month target is $1160, still decent runway, he hasn't trimmed yet. King of the highway in etching. The one running behind them is CAJ.

But if you're concerned about ASML, or your position's getting too big, take some profits and move some over to CAJPY.

Monopoly in high-end systems, immense pricing power. Last quarter's report had revenue growing 13% YOY, net profit up 9% YOY. Well positioned to participate in growth of semiconductor industry and the rise of AI.

In the semiconductor space, you could probably look a little further down the food chain, perhaps at some of the equipment suppliers like this one.

Very good company. He likes this space which is on a cyclical upswing. A concern is the US chips act against China. Likes ASML, but on a pullback.

There are probably 4 in this category of semiconductor equipment suppliers. LRCX does design, manufactures the equipment, refurbishes and services the equipment. 12-month price target of $1069, decent runway. Reports soon. Very conservative, so we won't get surprised. 

ASML using ultraviolet to etch chips has become the cat's meow, carving out a nice niche for EUVs. It's a bit cheaper. Reported last week, positive on top and bottom lines but lowered guidance. It sees demand coming back very strong in second half. Semis are a big thing with the AI revolution. Opportunity to buy a fantastic company at a cheaper price. 12-month price target of $1070.

For new money, put half in each.

He trimmed it this morning after shares plunged 8% after they reported a miss that was larger than the street expected and guidance was soft. If the market were better, he would nibble at these levels, but not now. He remains confident in it and expects it to come back, because their tech is critical to AI. It's a show-me story.

Wants to trim, because it's had a such a big run like all semis (overbought sector). ASML trades over 40x PE. 

The future is bright for this, but not cheap now. Trades at 46x forward PE. They're sold out of product this year, maybe 2025 too.

12-month price target of $1070, very decent runway. King of extreme, ultraviolet lithography that etches on chips. Its technology has been ignited by AI. Sells equipment to TSMC, INTC, or a Samsung. Beat on top and bottom in January by a lot, guided down quite a bit.  

Massive margins and a monopoly, exactly the type of company that Warren Buffett says to buy. Gross margin is 49%, makes money hand over fist. Special dividend in January. Yield is 0.8%.

Makes the machines that make the chips. Crucial role, especially for advanced chips. Close to a monopoly. AI, automotive technology, 5G. All this will lead to stronger revenue and earnings growth. Potential breakout above 2021 high today. Beat expectations. 17% earnings growth going forward. Yield is 0.9%.

It is good to pay more for a stock when it is moving higher to its breakout level or even higher since this confirms an accurate thesis. If it pushes through its breakout level then the higher price can become the new breakout level. Upward momentum is good.