Today, John Zechner commented about whether ATRL-T, LSPD-T, VRN-T, NTR-T, MDA-T, CCO-T, BTE-T, WMT-N, BAC-N, JPM-N, SHOP-T, TRP-T, CJT-T, FDX-N, LNR-T, MRE-T, PPL-T, PYPL-Q, TOU-T, CP-T, T-T, CVS-N, NFI-T, CM-T, BMO-T, AAPL-Q, MSFT-Q, C-N, NKE-N are stocks to buy or sell.
September was surprisingly good, typically the worst month. But Jay Powell's 50-point interest rate cut and China's stimulus pleased the bulls. But he's a little suspicious of October. The Canadian market had a good Q3 and non-tech enjoyed a broadening in the rally. Geopolitics are unknown, but interest rates are heading alot lower as economic data will soften. Earnings expectations are elevated. Be cautious with cyclicals. Thre's still a trade in bonds. Sentiment and valuations are extended. Stay close to the exits.
It's hard to argue against Microsoft. They've earned the higher valuation. He himself started using Microsoft Office 365 instead of spending a lot more to replace his company's server, and 365 has worked seamlessly. This is why MSFT is winning cloud business. Yes, MSFT is expensive. Hold if you own it. Apple is also a good business. Them and Androids run 80% of phone software globally; Apple continues to add features which will enhance growth. There's too much hype in AI rejuvenating iPhones. People will upgrades phones anyway. True, everyone has a phone, so that growth has slowed.
It's hard to argue against Microsoft. They've earned the higher valuation. He himself started using Microsoft Office 365 instead of spending a lot more to replace his company's server, and 365 has worked seamlessly. This is why MSFT is winning cloud business. Yes, MSFT is expensive. Hold if you own it. Apple is also a good business. Them and Androids run 80% of phone software globally; Apple continues to add features which will enhance growth. There's too much hype in AI rejuvenating iPhones. People will upgrades phones anyway.
He likes telcos. The best stocks in the US this year have been telcos. Same here. There's been a 2-year overhang with telcos in Canada with a fourth player entering, but valuations have fallen at 6-7x operating cash low, great dividends and growth potential. Will benefit from AI implementation. But he prefers Rogers for growth and BCE with its higher dividend. So, Telus is third in this group.
The car sector has disappointed, is floundering. He sold some car stocks, but held onto MRE because it's cheap. Is lots of insider buying and margins are improving. Are almost immune from the EV transition because the components they made can be used in gas as well as electric cars. 8-9x forward PE and a good balance sheet.