DON'T BUY
ZWC vs. XEI Basket of high-dividend paying, large cap names in Canada, with covered call overlay. Pipelines, banks, telecom. XEI has outperformed ZWC, even though ZWC has a higher yield. What happens is that you get called out of ZWC with the covered calls, so the capital appreciation is weaker. Underperformed the TSX. Higher MER of 72 bps. If you think market's moving forward, prefers XEI unless you need the extra income from covered calls. Already tax-efficient, so efficiencies would be lost in a registered account. Yield is around 6.8%.
BUY
WFC vs. JPM Likes its relatively low book-to-value valuation compared to other large US banks. Yield is 2.78%. He likes JPM as well, but he really likes the value of WFC. You want to start to be overweight US and global financials. Improving macro picture, and you're not going to have a bull market without financials. See his Top Picks.
WEAK BUY
JPM vs. WFC Likes WFC's relatively low book-to-value valuation compared to other large US banks, and a yield of 2.78%. He likes JPM as well, but he really likes the value of WFC. You want to start to be overweight US and global financials. Improving macro picture, and you're not going to have a bull market without financials. See his Top Picks.
COMMENT
PYPL vs. SQ - which to sell? Tough. He's significantly underweight tech. Shares of both are in a basing pattern, below respective 200-day MAs. Might be an opportunity, but who knows how long they'll base? Neither shows great technical strength. 3x price to sales, while SQ is 2.2x. More growth with SQ, but PYPL is less volatile and revenue/earnings a bit more predictable. If economy wobbles, SQ is in trouble as it depends on much smaller merchants. Many people have returned to shopping in person, so e-payments are not as popular. Both underperforming S&P. For more stability, keep PYPL. For higher growth but also volatility, keep SQ.
COMMENT
SQ vs. PYPL - which to sell? Tough. He's significantly underweight tech. Shares of both are in a basing pattern, below respective 200-day MAs. Might be an opportunity, but who knows how long they'll base? Neither shows great technical strength. PYPL is 3x price to sales, while SQ is 2.2x. More growth with SQ, but PYPL is less volatile and revenue/earnings a bit more predictable. If economy wobbles, SQ is in trouble as it depends on much smaller merchants. Many people have returned to shopping in person, so e-payments are not as popular. Both underperforming S&P. For more stability, keep PYPL. For higher growth but also volatility, keep SQ.
DON'T BUY
Covered call. Equal weight basket of mainly 20 US healthcare names. Yield is 8.5%. MER of 99 bps, not as cheap as some of the others. He prefers, and owns, IXJ. IXJ is a basket of global healthcare names, with only a 40 bps MER.
BUY
His preference in the space. Basket of global healthcare names, and only a 40 bps MER.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/22, Down 15%) 11x forward PE. Outperforming S&P since early 2021. Healthy drug pipeline. Still sees 30B USD in sales for Covid vaccines and treatment. Defensive and steady growth. Weak relative to market in January, an opportunity. Yield is 3.5%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/22, Up 4%) Very good cashflow dividend of 5.2% today. Trades below book value, .95 price to book. Outpacing TSX since last May, a good technical sign. Remains a top 3 pan-Asian life insurer. Growth of middle class long term a definite positive. Looser China Covid rules will spur sales. Keep holding.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/22, Up 1%) Designed to outperform during rising rates. That may change later this year. 56% in US energy and financials, two of his top 3 areas. Continues to like and hold.
HOLD
A leader. Always outperforms the S&P 500. Healthcare performed quite well last year, and now there's a bit of rotation out and into higher beta names. Next 12-18 months, you still want healthcare in your portfolio. Defensive capabilities along with growth. 20x forward earnings, 12% growth rate. Yield is 1.3%, which will grow.
DON'T BUY
Deep cyclical. Auto sales were tough in 2022. Starting to break above the 200-day MA, but still at the cusp. Be careful. Not his top name. Definite value at 5-6x earnings, but don't be caught just looking at the value. One name he's watching is MBGYY.
DON'T BUY
Deep cyclical. Auto sales were tough in 2022. Be careful. Definite value at 5-6x earnings, but don't be caught just looking at the value. One name he's watching is MBGYY.
WATCH
Broken above its 200-day MA. He's studying it carefully right now. Getting into the EV market quite heavily. Can be a serious competitor to a name like TSLA, given that Mercedes is a luxury brand.
WATCH
Likes healthcare. Not performing as well as peers. 200-day MA is falling, price is below. Not executing well. 15x forward earnings for a weak 5% growth rate. Wait to see if it shows better technical strength. Don't buy it just for the yield of 3.4%.