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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly TUP is a worldwide leader in kitchen storage and cookware. It enjoyed an amazing run during the pandemic as lockdowns kept consumers at home. Analysts expect the momentum to continue, making this a good value entry point. It currently trades at 9x earnings compared to peers at 28x. With EPS growth expected to exceed 15% again next year, the PEG ratio is under 1.0. We would buy this with a stop loss at $15, looking to achieve $38 -- upside potential over 55%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $38.75)
Consumer Products

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LRCX is a major producer of semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment - a sector in high demand. It is a leader in dry etch technology -- a market segment with a high barrier to entry. It trades at 22x earnings, compared to peers at 37x. With good growth prospects ahead, its PEG ratio is under 1.1. It pays a small dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 20% of cash flow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $485, looking to achieve $744 - upside potential over 23%. Yield 0.85% (Analysts’ price target is $743.39)
Technology

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly GPS has emerged as a leader in e-commerce as an apparel retailer. Their online business accounted for 33% of total sales last quarter. Recently reported earnings of $0.70 per share easily exceeded analyst expectations of $0.46. Comparable same-store sales are up 12% from pre-pandemic levels. Management raised earnings guidance to $2.10-$2.25 per share for the full year, compared to analyst calls for $1.79. It trades at 14x earnings, compared to peers at 20x. It pays a reasonable dividend, backed by a payout ratio of under 25% of cash flow. We would buy this with a stop loss at $20, looking to achieve $36.50 -- upside potential over 35%. Yield 1.81% (Analysts’ price target is $36.58)
specialty stores

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 24/20, Up 28.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with BDT has achieved its objective at $10. To be disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $6.50) to $8.25. If triggered this would all but guarantee a net investment return over 17%.
REAL ESTATE
COMMENT
Take a long-term view and don't get hung up on temporary bumps. It's hard to time the market, so avoid guessing tops and bottoms. Best to be fully invested at all times. He holds 4-8% cash in his cash, which as invested as he gets; this cash avoids selling something to buy something else. Over time, markets go up. Inflation is a bigger threat than central banks say. Costs are rising; there are shortages of materials and labour, and this won't end anytime soon. When the pandemic ends, demand will pick up and that in turn will feel inflation. By then, central banks will be behind the curve and inflation will get away from then. Financials, resource stocks and cyclicals will benefit from this scenario (see his top picks).
Unknown
BUY
Has owned this in the $60s, because he likes to buy cyclicals when they are out of favour. During the pandemic, the feeling was that people won't drive, but he thought that people would need cars to go to the store and won't ride the subway. He's always liked Magna. Near-term, the chip shortage is limiting production, so this will impact Magna, but it's a short-term problem and a buying opportunity.
Automotive
BUY

CN vs. CP It's surging today. Rails are good--they are the economy. CN is more of a commodity shipper and commodities are in demand. Both CN and CP will be hit by the weak grain harvest from lack of rain. He hopes CN wins the battle for KSU. (Didn't comment much on CP.) There is integration risk in buying KSU and they will need to borrow money to close the deal, but this is a short-term problem and it's worth building a network to Mexico.

Transportation