Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 19, 2020

MCD vs. Starbucks Can they increase locations and sales per location? MCD is saturated, so they are trying to increase the latter. Starbucks is doing both. MCD makes money from franchise fees. They're equal, leaders in their field. He can't choose one over the other.

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McDonalds (MCD-N)
May 19, 2020

MCD vs. Starbucks Can they increase locations and sales per location? MCD is saturated, so they are trying to increase the latter. Starbucks is doing both. MCD makes money from franchise fees. They're equal, leaders in their field. He can't choose one over the other.

WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
May 19, 2020
A rise in home spending to come HD has run back up, because people have discretionary income they're not spending on restaurants and clothes, because they're stuck at home. He's owned this before. 1980-2007, HD was expanding locations, but since 2009 they have added few. Instead, they are selling higher-margin profits to boost revenues, but the growth rate in this has slowed. That's why he sold.
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Home Depot (HD-N)
May 19, 2020
A rise in home spending to come HD has run back up, because people have discretionary income they're not spending on restaurants and clothes, because they're stuck at home. He's owned this before. 1980-2007, HD was expanding locations, but since 2009 they have added few. Instead, they are selling higher-margin profits to boost revenues, but the growth rate in this has slowed. That's why he sold.
BUY
BUY
May 19, 2020
He'd buy it today. Brookfield thrives in downturns, such as 2008, buying assets/properties when there's blood on the streets. Management was buying back a lot of shares in the March sell-off. BAM buys alternative (to fixed income) assets. So, with interest rates near zero, BAM is attractive. BAM's 5-year plan (from late 2019) projects a 20% annualized return in the next five years. Good to own for the long term.
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He'd buy it today. Brookfield thrives in downturns, such as 2008, buying assets/properties when there's blood on the streets. Management was buying back a lot of shares in the March sell-off. BAM buys alternative (to fixed income) assets. So, with interest rates near zero, BAM is attractive. BAM's 5-year plan (from late 2019) projects a 20% annualized return in the next five years. Good to own for the long term.
BUY
BUY
May 19, 2020
Precious metals Central banks are expanding balance sheets which makes precious metals bullish. Seven of the 10 top performers on the TSX this year have been gold stocks. He doesn't own many gold stocks, given gold price uncertainty, but he likes Equinox Gold for its growth profile.
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Equinox Gold (EQX-T)
May 19, 2020
Precious metals Central banks are expanding balance sheets which makes precious metals bullish. Seven of the 10 top performers on the TSX this year have been gold stocks. He doesn't own many gold stocks, given gold price uncertainty, but he likes Equinox Gold for its growth profile.
WEAK BUY
WEAK BUY
May 19, 2020
It's trading near its 8-year low. MFC is most responsive to changes in equity markets. It's trading now at price-to-book of 0.6x, so you could probably buy it now and be fine, but an American one has sold off as much, but isn't enduring a restructuring like MFC. He prefers Lincoln National in the US where there is also insider buying. MFC doesn't have insider buying.
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It's trading near its 8-year low. MFC is most responsive to changes in equity markets. It's trading now at price-to-book of 0.6x, so you could probably buy it now and be fine, but an American one has sold off as much, but isn't enduring a restructuring like MFC. He prefers Lincoln National in the US where there is also insider buying. MFC doesn't have insider buying.
BUY
BUY
May 19, 2020
They bought the Prince George refinery and sold off their Pioneer Pipeline project. That's helped their balance sheet. The refinery has performed better than expected. Northern BC will benefit from LNG Canada and TransMountain. There's also been insider buying here, another plus.
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They bought the Prince George refinery and sold off their Pioneer Pipeline project. That's helped their balance sheet. The refinery has performed better than expected. Northern BC will benefit from LNG Canada and TransMountain. There's also been insider buying here, another plus.
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
May 19, 2020

(A Top Pick May 21/19, Down 25%) Last year, trade tensions between US and China hurt their business, because 10% of their business is agricultural equipment and that trade war hurt agriculture. The GM strike also hurt. There was insider buying over the winter, which is a plus. The virus has made this a buying opportunity now. A solid hold for him. Peak auto has hit the world, yes, but those declines in sales have been gradual.

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Linamar Corp (LNR-T)
May 19, 2020

(A Top Pick May 21/19, Down 25%) Last year, trade tensions between US and China hurt their business, because 10% of their business is agricultural equipment and that trade war hurt agriculture. The GM strike also hurt. There was insider buying over the winter, which is a plus. The virus has made this a buying opportunity now. A solid hold for him. Peak auto has hit the world, yes, but those declines in sales have been gradual.