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Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 12, 2020
A natural gas producer with a growing liquids portfolio. It is simply too small for investors and their debt at 5 times cash flow is just not competitive. He would not own this one.
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A natural gas producer with a growing liquids portfolio. It is simply too small for investors and their debt at 5 times cash flow is just not competitive. He would not own this one.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 12, 2020
They are the poster child for the woes of the AECo market. They have debt to cash flow of 4 times. They are maintaining production. We are over 70% through winter and we have seen demand down 14% in North America this season. The outlook is bleak. Natural gas stocks are a play on weather and he does not see any prospects in this space at this time. He is looking towards Canadian oil plays instead.
Show full opinionHide full opinionThey are the poster child for the woes of the AECo market. They have debt to cash flow of 4 times. They are maintaining production. We are over 70% through winter and we have seen demand down 14% in North America this season. The outlook is bleak. Natural gas stocks are a play on weather and he does not see any prospects in this space at this time. He is looking towards Canadian oil plays instead.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 12, 2020
TOG vs ARX vs WCP? He favours TOG and WCP over ARX presently. TOG has a 7.7% yield and trades only at 6% above the blow down value of their existing wells and has a strong balance sheet.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 12, 2020
TOG vs ARX vs WCP? He favours TOG and WCP over ARX presently. TOG has a 7.7% yield and trades only at 6% above the blow down value of their existing wells and has a strong balance sheet.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 12, 2020
TOG vs ARX vs WCP? He favours TOG and WCP over ARX presently. TOG has a 7.7% yield and trades only at 6% above the blow down value of their existing wells and has a strong balance sheet.
HOLD
HOLD
February 12, 2020
An incredibly well run company. He sold out last year after making a 35% profit. They have some natural gas exposure. They have a massive play in the Montney region where other large players are getting great results. He thinks their need to pay dividends will mean they take a measured move into developing this new play. Meanwhile they are paying a 9% yield, which he thinks is safe if there is reasonable price recovery in natural gas.
Show full opinionHide full opinionAn incredibly well run company. He sold out last year after making a 35% profit. They have some natural gas exposure. They have a massive play in the Montney region where other large players are getting great results. He thinks their need to pay dividends will mean they take a measured move into developing this new play. Meanwhile they are paying a 9% yield, which he thinks is safe if there is reasonable price recovery in natural gas.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
February 12, 2020
The stock trades at a premium multiple. Their balance sheet is not as strong as others. He is not keen on the stock compensation for senior management. He thinks there are better opportunities out there. He is not sure that management's decision to keep paying the dividend is not a wise strategy at the detriment of maintaining production. Yield 15%
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe stock trades at a premium multiple. Their balance sheet is not as strong as others. He is not keen on the stock compensation for senior management. He thinks there are better opportunities out there. He is not sure that management's decision to keep paying the dividend is not a wise strategy at the detriment of maintaining production. Yield 15%
