WATCH
It formed a nice base. It has a strong yield. It is coming out the last few days. We are getting close to a break out.
COMMENT
The U.S. Midterms tomorrow won't make a difference. The market is very high and tired. But if the Dems win the House (not Senate) will be a relief, because it'll stop Trump from doing dumb things. If the Republicans win, then Trump's tax cuts will go through. The markets will go up either way in a relief rally. But if the Dems win BOTH houses, then we'll have a real stalemate in Washington. Women of all stripes and ages are turning out to vote. This looks like bad news for the Republicans. Trade (US-China tensions) is an issue, but really the market is expensive. The fundamentals, including earnings, are slowing down or flat. We're not seeing big growth or whether that value is coming into the market. The market is carrying overvalued stocks which have lately come down. Markets simply get tired of carrying that load, then say, "Forget it."
BUY
It's getting quite cheap. The whole home construction sector looks like there's one part that is working well and another that is not. The latter stocks are all the stocks that came to a sticky end in 2008. These stocks are getting really cheap now and giving really good opportunities. These stocks could have a great run.
BUY
It's been beaten up and now really cheap. He likes the very strong earnings forecast. His FMV forecasts 140% upside. This can go to $5 easily and perhaps $6.50. Do not sell now.
BUY
It was cheap a few years ago and really cheap now. He's frustrated with it, though the current earnings forecast holds great potential.
DON'T BUY
A few years ago, he was looking at BCE, which was right up against its FMV and not going anywhere, then sold off. Now, Telus is doing the same thing: the stock is bumbling along with stock forecasts heading nowhere. Telus is tired and will fall 20%, he thinks.
DON'T BUY
Has 17% upside potential and pays a decent yield, but it isn't going anywhere, just flowing down the river. It popped 4% but there's been a lot of volatility lately in the markets. It'll be tough rising 17%.
COMMENT
Where do you see the S&P 500 going? It's right between 2,550 and 3,100, a nice trading range. The S&P will stay here, unless there's a setback. He hopes there's more downside so he can buy stocks cheaper. October is traditionally bearish, and this one was. Powerful resistance on the way down and powerful support on the way
COMMENT
Loblaw last week booted out its REIT and the stock went down, but not as much as some may think. It has strong upside potential, but has long gone sideways. Eventually, the market will get tired of this sideways movement and let it fall. The company is well-run.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 05/17, Down 2%) The problem with US banks is they don't pay dividends. So, in a weak market, how would investors view these stocks? Vs. Canadian banks, the American ones are cheaper on a P/B basis. But American banks know how to find trouble like 10 years ago.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 05/17, Down 13%) From a FMV, all the promises of things to come aren't yet built into their earnings forecast. But the long-term is good. He sold his shares at higher prices, and is waiting for another chance to buy it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 05/17, Down 28%) He likes the gold stocks to hedge against stupid governments and central banks that support the market. The banks are driving the markets instead of reverse, so if the banks are tired of propping up the markets, then what happens?
BUY ON WEAKNESS
The banks are coming down, including TD. He targets $66-68 on the downside. That said, this bank is superbly run and on the way to becoming Canada's biggest bank. Excellent customer service.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
The stock has done well, but outran its FMV and has fallen to a reasonable level. He'd wait till $2.50 before entering this stock. It's well-run. A little pricey now. It needs better earnings to support the price.
BUY
It's not far from its book value. Has good potential upside. The risks are reasonable now. He likes it.