DON'T BUY

Likes their technology and products. When he models out the prospects for their new HEP C drug the numbers don’t work. Thinks the new product is already built in.

DON'T BUY

Great company, strong position in databases. Companies find it hard to move away from them. The problem is that the DB business is fairly mature. Oracle is slow to adapt to the cloud, however they are also unsure how to deal with ‘Big Data’. Others are finding that the world is changing very rapidly. A solid company but the transition is going to start to eat into their growth. This does not qualify according to his growth criteria.

HOLD

Had a bad IPO. Comfortable buying it back in the $20s. He modeled it out very conservatively and now targets in the high $40s. He is holding it and their future roll out of video could really boost revenues.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Aug 29/12, Up 47.63%) Biggest holding in all his funds. One of the cheapest plays on this new technology. They should split it but doesn’t know if they will. Larger server manufacturer in the world, just using them internally.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Aug 29/12, Down 33.31%) A disappointment for him. Grew service business, but we are seeing a shift away from infrastructure stocks. IT is a service rather than licensed hardware and software. Would not have expected this to affect them this quickly. Don’t be quick to sell it.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Aug 29/12, Up 23.25%) Foreign market is quite strong but US is seeing a shift into hospitals. The opportunity for them to move into new markets remains and so he would stay with them.

COMMENT

Dominant player in gene sequencing business. Becoming more commercially available to clinics instead of just research labs. They are buying up some of their customers and going into competition with them. He is nervous of the valuation. It is at and beyond his expectations.

BUY

Dominant technology for cell phones. Competitors coming and market is maturing. The key is that their technology will be better for at least a couple of years so he is not worried at this point.

DON'T BUY

Fairly mature business. Their recent deal is highly accretive, but their mix of revenues is even more mature. He thinks that this company does not pass his growth criteria.

BUY

Better growth rate than THI-T. THI’s ability to move out of Canada does not have a great track record. SBUX has an amazing platform. He is moving that brand onto grocery stores. Has a better prospect for growth.

DON'T BUY

Provide and rent towers to companies like AT&T. The problem is that it is like a real estate company and uses a lot of money to put up towers and rent them out. There is still growth but their cost of debt would go up with interest rates.

DON'T BUY

A great company. Struggled to transition to a software and service world. They are going to use up their cash. It is not obvious who should buy them. There is some value buyer. Their messaging platform is wonderful. Thinks he will be pressured to move to other vendors because of the concerns.

DON'T BUY

Not positioned for mobile because their chips use too much energy. They are moving to better chips to compete with ARM. There is this big battle going on and it will pressure prices for a while. Their margins will come under pressure. They can probably continue with their dividend but growth will come under pressure.

BUY

He had a big run and his experience is that consumer products like this take a big run and then roll over and die. So now he feels it is an on-going battle of whether they will make the quarter or not.

N/A

Economy. Does not expect the US government will proceed with tapering. There may be some evidence of weakness of US numbers in the last few months and the feds credibility was severely damaged. If they weren’t going to do. Tapering, why did they freak out the market and push up long-term bond rates by 1%. It may well be that we are seeing the feds starting to lose, at least, in the long end of the bond market. People are now going to look at anything they say with a very large grain of salt. Tapering could very well be delayed until this time next year. The Fed essentially goes on hold usually after August or September when there is an election year. The new Fed chairperson has about 6 months. Margin debts are back to record highs. This is all looking dangerously close to at least an interim peak for the S&P 500.