Opinions
Ian Ainsworth
Oracle
ORCL-N
DON'T BUY
Oct 28, 2013
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Taken to the woodshed this week, mainly due to Trump and Stargate last week. He's been buying this week. No one's brought their price targets down. Monday may have been difficult, but it's a great opportunity to put some cash to work.
Pivoted nicely the way MSFT and IBM did years ago. Fourth main player in the cloud, which gives them recurring revenue. Best at cross-selling.
Hasn't had a chance to look closely at yesterday's earnings. Stock's at a 52-week, if not all-time, high today. Looks interesting, given the cloud space it's in. Not expensive at 2x PEG, with forward PE of 29-30x. Earnings growth rate ~16%.
Technically, meets his criteria. 200-day MA is trending higher, and price is above that. High beta, volatile.
Great company, strong position in databases. Companies find it hard to move away from them. The problem is that the DB business is fairly mature. Oracle is slow to adapt to the cloud, however they are also unsure how to deal with ‘Big Data’. Others are finding that the world is changing very rapidly. A solid company but the transition is going to start to eat into their growth. This does not qualify according to his growth criteria.