Opinions by Don Vialoux | StockChase
1938
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE May 2004

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

http://www.horizonsetfs.com/

1938
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst

ON STOCKCHASE SINCE May 2004

TimingTheMarket.CA & EquityClock.COM

http://www.horizonsetfs.com/


Opinions by Don Vialoux


Signal Opinion Expert Chart
N/A
General Market Comment 

December 22, 2017

Seasonal Investing. The best time for seasonal investing is the 3 weeks starting in mid-December. That is the strongest time for the S&P 500 and the TSE. During the last 27 periods, the TSE Composite has gone up 23 times with an average gain of 2.4%. That period is the end of tax loss selling pressures. There is also diminished institutional activity where companies close operations in the middle of December.

Seasonal Investing. The best time for seasonal investing is the 3 weeks starting in mid-December. That is the strongest time for the S&P 500 and the TSE. During the last 27 periods, the TSE Composite has gone up 23 times with an average gain of 2.4%. That period is the end of tax loss selling pressures. There is also diminished institutional activity where companies close operations in the middle of December.

Unknown
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

Must be logged in to use chart
N/A
General Market Comment 

December 22, 2017

How do you use Bollinger bands? Bollinger bands give you a range for a security to trade within 2 standard deviations. Most stocks will trade within those bands over a long period of time. This stock is an interesting one because, for a long period of time, it has been coming way down. Bollinger bands have been getting tighter and tighter and then, all of a sudden the news came out that they were going to reduce production and uranium oxide immediately went up 15%. Using Bollinger bands can be very useful except when there is specific news that comes out on a company like this, which can have a significant impact. Seasonally, it has done very well from November right through until April of each year. It hasn't done that for the last few years. This year, we might have something going for us, and it looks like the stock could expand beyond its Bollinger bands for a period of time.

How do you use Bollinger bands? Bollinger bands give you a range for a security to trade within 2 standard deviations. Most stocks will trade within those bands over a long period of time. This stock is an interesting one because, for a long period of time, it has been coming way down. Bollinger bands have been getting tighter and tighter and then, all of a sudden the news came out that they were going to reduce production and uranium oxide immediately went up 15%. Using Bollinger bands can be very useful except when there is specific news that comes out on a company like this, which can have a significant impact. Seasonally, it has done very well from November right through until April of each year. It hasn't done that for the last few years. This year, we might have something going for us, and it looks like the stock could expand beyond its Bollinger bands for a period of time.

Unknown
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$0.020
Owned Owned
_N/A

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COMMENT
Bank of America(BAC-N) 

December 22, 2017

Technically, this has a pretty good chart. The stock recently broke out above its trading range, so it is definitely in an upward trend. Relative strength is also a positive. Seasonally, we are just entering into the period of seasonal strength. It looks like it is going to go higher both technically and seasonally in the next 3-4 months.

banks

Technically, this has a pretty good chart. The stock recently broke out above its trading range, so it is definitely in an upward trend. Relative strength is also a positive. Seasonally, we are just entering into the period of seasonal strength. It looks like it is going to go higher both technically and seasonally in the next 3-4 months.

banks
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$29.880
Owned Owned
Unknown

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PAST TOP PICK
CASH(CASH) 

December 22, 2017

(A Top Pick Aug 25/17.)

N/A

(A Top Pick Aug 25/17.)

N/A
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$0.010
Owned Owned
Unknown

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COMMENT

This just broke out to an all-time high. Canadian bank stocks have very distinct seasonality. Historically they have gone up as you get close to the end of the year. Normally they peak around the end of December. This year we have had an extension which has taken it into a higher level and an all-time high. Stocks like this, once they get into a new year, have a tendency to have an underperformance in the new year, the beginning of January through to the end of March.

banks

This just broke out to an all-time high. Canadian bank stocks have very distinct seasonality. Historically they have gone up as you get close to the end of the year. Normally they peak around the end of December. This year we have had an extension which has taken it into a higher level and an all-time high. Stocks like this, once they get into a new year, have a tendency to have an underperformance in the new year, the beginning of January through to the end of March.

banks
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$123.110
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK

We have already seen copper stocks, which are part of this ETF, move higher. By owning this ETF, you are owning a basket of them.

E.T.F.'s

We have already seen copper stocks, which are part of this ETF, move higher. By owning this ETF, you are owning a basket of them.

E.T.F.'s
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$26.670
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT

This has very strong seasonality. It normally starts around the end of January, and moves through until springtime. It’s been in a trading range for the last couple of weeks, and will probably be there for another 2-3 weeks until about the middle of January. That will be the time for an opportunity.

specialty stores

This has very strong seasonality. It normally starts around the end of January, and moves through until springtime. It’s been in a trading range for the last couple of weeks, and will probably be there for another 2-3 weeks until about the middle of January. That will be the time for an opportunity.

specialty stores
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$163.560
Owned Owned
Unknown

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HOLD
Express Scripts Inc(ESRX-Q) 

December 22, 2017

He is not sure about the seasonality of this, but technically, it has been in a longer-term downward trend, and just recently broke the downward trend. It's now trending higher and is outperforming the market. It’s broken above 2 resistance points. He would stick with this for a trade coming into springtime.

wholesale distributors

He is not sure about the seasonality of this, but technically, it has been in a longer-term downward trend, and just recently broke the downward trend. It's now trending higher and is outperforming the market. It’s broken above 2 resistance points. He would stick with this for a trade coming into springtime.

wholesale distributors
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$74.530
Owned Owned
Unknown

Must be logged in to use chart
COMMENT
First Majestic Silver(FR-T) 

December 22, 2017

In the past, this has had very strong seasonality from approximately from the middle of December right through until the end of February. This year nothing happened. We are not getting the normal seasonality you would expect. (See Top Picks.)

precious metals

In the past, this has had very strong seasonality from approximately from the middle of December right through until the end of February. This year nothing happened. We are not getting the normal seasonality you would expect. (See Top Picks.)

precious metals
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$8.820
Owned Owned
Unknown

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TOP PICK
Halliburton Co(HAL-N) 

December 22, 2017

The oil service stocks are starting to show signs of seasonal strength. The seasonal period of strength is from the middle of December right through until the end of April. Technically, the stock completed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, implying upside. Dividend yield of 1.5%. (Analysts' price target is $54.)

oil/gas field services

The oil service stocks are starting to show signs of seasonal strength. The seasonal period of strength is from the middle of December right through until the end of April. Technically, the stock completed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, implying upside. Dividend yield of 1.5%. (Analysts' price target is $54.)

oil/gas field services
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$48.010
Owned Owned
No

Must be logged in to use chart
BUY on WEAKNESS
Hudbay Minerals Inc.(HBM-T) 

December 22, 2017

We’ve just entered into the period of seasonal strength for copper and zinc stocks. Now is usually the time when copper stocks start to show positive seasonality. Currently it's in a trading range, but has started to outperform the market. If it moved above its current trading range, which would take it into a multiyear high, that would be very, very bullish. This is a nice opportunity to buy the stock on any kind of weakness in the next couple of weeks.

precious metals

We’ve just entered into the period of seasonal strength for copper and zinc stocks. Now is usually the time when copper stocks start to show positive seasonality. Currently it's in a trading range, but has started to outperform the market. If it moved above its current trading range, which would take it into a multiyear high, that would be very, very bullish. This is a nice opportunity to buy the stock on any kind of weakness in the next couple of weeks.

precious metals
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$10.840
Owned Owned
Unknown

Must be logged in to use chart
PAST TOP PICK
HBP Comex Gold ETF(HUG-T) 

December 22, 2017

(A Top Pick Aug 25/17. Down 1.84%.) Gold and gold stocks have 2 periods of seasonal strength. One is from the end of July until the end of September, and then it goes down, bottoms around the middle of December and then goes higher until February. This year gold and gold bullion peaked a little early, around the middle of September. The worst period to own gold and gold equities is from October through to December.

E.T.F.'s

(A Top Pick Aug 25/17. Down 1.84%.) Gold and gold stocks have 2 periods of seasonal strength. One is from the end of July until the end of September, and then it goes down, bottoms around the middle of December and then goes higher until February. This year gold and gold bullion peaked a little early, around the middle of September. The worst period to own gold and gold equities is from October through to December.

E.T.F.'s
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$11.570
Owned Owned
No

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COMMENT

Typically, the stock does very well when there is greater demand for iron ore, and typically does well when steel stocks are doing well. This has recently broken its key resistance and has a longer-term upward trend. The technicals are certainly positive.

Financial Services

Typically, the stock does very well when there is greater demand for iron ore, and typically does well when steel stocks are doing well. This has recently broken its key resistance and has a longer-term upward trend. The technicals are certainly positive.

Financial Services
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$27.330
Owned Owned
Unknown

Must be logged in to use chart
COMMENT
Morgan Stanley(MS-N) 

December 22, 2017

Historically US financial stocks have done very well from approximately January through until April of each year. The chart shows a nice upward trend and the stock recently broke to new highs.

investment companies/funds

Historically US financial stocks have done very well from approximately January through until April of each year. The chart shows a nice upward trend and the stock recently broke to new highs.

investment companies/funds
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$52.720
Owned Owned
Unknown

Must be logged in to use chart
HOLD
PayPal Holdings Inc.(PYPL-Q) 

December 22, 2017

This has been in an upward trend, but struggled a little recently, and has been underperforming the market. It's in a trading range of between $67.50 and $80. If you own this, you should probably continue to hold it. If it breaks below its support level of around $67.50, that would complete a double top pattern. If it moves above its previous high, of about $78, that would be quite encouraging.

This has been in an upward trend, but struggled a little recently, and has been underperforming the market. It's in a trading range of between $67.50 and $80. If you own this, you should probably continue to hold it. If it breaks below its support level of around $67.50, that would complete a double top pattern. If it moves above its previous high, of about $78, that would be quite encouraging.

0
Don Vialoux

Research Analyst, TimingTheMarket.CA &...

PricePrice
$73.890
Owned Owned
Unknown

Must be logged in to use chart
Showing 1 to 15 of 1,938 entries
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4 Comments

stevedandy

December 31st 2012 at 10:24am

Love Don Vialoux's analysis of seasonal strength or weakness in regards to stock sectors. The patterns of seasonality that he points out are so interesting.

BeauRegard

January 21st 2015 at 10:58am

Excellent point you make. Excellent stock to own.

Rob B

June 24th 2015 at 1:52pm

If you like palm reading you'll like Don. I think most of the seasonality stuff he makes up as he goes along. His analysis is on seasonality, even he admits has lots of exceptions. Can't figure how he lasted in the industry so long.

BeauRegard

July 7th 2015 at 10:09am

Rob B
He has a kindly face...???
;>)


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