XPO Logistics, Inc (XPO-N)

Is higher despite downgrades today. They spun off GXO and RXO. It now trades at 6x EBITDA vs. peers of 10x or 18x, so it's trading at a discount. XPO gained market share last quarter. Shares ran up 32% year to date before earnings, but expectations were so high, so shares fell back after the report. Still, it's cheap vs. peers and run by superior management.

It's economically sensitive. A tremendous value creator. Has always been a dirt-cheap stock that he once owned, and will own again, just not now. The money will go more towards FedEx and UPS, though.

GXO spin-off Splitting up a business can unlock value. GXO is the spin-off from XPO whose CEO boasts a long record of creating value when he ran United Rentals. The CEO consolidated in a highly fragmented industry by buying many companies. From 2014-2018, shares quadrupled. Then, the stock stumbled until last December 2020 when XPO did the spin-off. XPO kept the freight transportation and truck brokerage business, while spinning off the lucrative contract logistics division to make it the second-largest company in this space globally. Which one to buy? The XPO spun-off has given XPO a 73% gain since Jan. 2020. GXO has already surged from $57-79 after only a few weeks. People want a logistics stock, important to the new e-commerce economy. He likes both. XPO has more upside. GXO's warehouses give great exposure to e-commerce and logistics outsourcing, powerful long-term trends. GXO could be lowballing its forecasts and faces little competition in this space. There's still room to run here, too.

Despite the non-stop boom in e-commerce, they lost their mojo in recent years. So last December, XPO spun off their faster-growing logistics business. It was a smart move, and the stock rallied 56% since then. The spin-off will be called GXO Logistics. After today's close, XPO reported a strong top and bottom line beat.