GXO Logistics (GXO-N)

A valuable company but it's had a monster move lately.

Hasn't do well recently, but they report good quarters. Their outsourcing should do well.

Continues to like it, though logistics is not his favourite sector. GXO enjoys ongoing outsourcing trends (i.e. Amazon, Nike, Intel) from companies who pay for their services. He's very long GXO, but it's tenuous.

They enjoy locked-in contracts with inflation kickers with a blue chip clientele. The e-commerce market is only 6% outsourced, so there's huge upside.

It got beaten down too much. They benefit from e-commerce and the outsourcing trend. 

FedEx still missed revenues. The best thing that happened to UPS was FedEx kicking Amazon out, because they no longer playinng against one another one in terms of pricing. GXO is completely different from FedEx. GXO is a cost-plus or take-or-pay business with inflation escalators. GXO has 6% of the 3rd-party logistics business globally and are the largest independent amid more outsourcing. GXO will be fine and will trade with market, outperforming UPS or FedEx.

They're saving Nike 100 basis points on their business. A fine performer and stock with growth ahead.

Splitting up a business can unlock value. GXO is the spin-off from XPO whose CEO boasts a long record of creating value when he ran United Rentals. The CEO consolidated in a highly fragmented industry by buying many companies. From 2014-2018, shares quadrupled. Then, the stock stumbled until last December 2020 when XPO did the spin-off. XPO kept the freight transportation and truck brokerage business, while spinning off the lucrative contract logistics division to make it the second-largest company in this space globally. Which one to buy? The XPO spun-off has given XPO a 73% gain since Jan. 2020. GXO has already surged from $57-79 after only a few weeks. People want a logistics stock, important to the new e-commerce economy. He likes both. XPO has more upside. GXO's warehouses give great exposure to e-commerce and logistics outsourcing, powerful long-term trends. GXO could be lowballing its forecasts and faces little competition in this space. There's still room to run here, too.