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The data doesn't show a downturn, but that could change so he monitors it closely. We're in that historical season where markets see a lot of chop, which coincides with both the calendar and the US presidential cycle. Everything is still intact. Technical levels haven't broken down. His thesis remains that this is a correction inside the upward-trending market.
This could change if all of sudden we see some of those levels break and a leadership change as well.
Whenever the market gets a little uneasy, he definitely sees it in the small caps as well. They tend to be more volatile and liquidity dries up, so they can really get pushed around. Just as with the regular market, they tend to be fairly strong from October - end of May. He hasn't seen that leadership yet in either Canada or the US. The Russell 2000 has been in a trading band for the better part of this year; if it does break out, it will probably be pretty significant.
If you can’t afford to invest yet, don’t.
This rule kind of seems obvious, but you might be surprised at how many people ignore it. We have seen people borrow money to invest on margin even while they have huge credit-card balances. We have watched people buy penny stocks even as they struggle to come up with rent money.
We think, instead, you should look at paying down debt as an investment in itself. Suppose you have a $5,000 balance on a credit card at 19.99-per-cent interest. Paying down that balance guarantees you a solid investment return through lower interest payments. Saving 20 per cent in charges is just as good as making 20 per cent as far as your net worth is concerned (even better if one looks at the after-tax impact).
Of course, there is nothing in the investment world these days (or ever, probably) that is going to guarantee you a 20-per-cent payback. So, you need to get your financial house in order before you consider investing.
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Investors watching CPI data coming from USA - believes moving in the right direction.
2% inflation target will require hard landing for the economy.
Moderation in housing/rental costs helping inflation.
Higher oil prices generally not helping tame inflation.
US Federal Reserve requirement to raise liquidity will increase bond supply.
A.I. & ETFs:
A.I. creating new ETFs that filter data in order to try and beat S&P 500.
So far - A.I ETFs are having a tough time beating the markets.
Derivative structure ETFs compared to traditional 60/40 portfolio appear to have same outcome.
Investors will have to be patient in order to learn impact of A.I. on investing.
Registered Education Savings Plan (RESP):
For parents saving for their children's post-secondary education, the RESP is an invaluable tool. Contributions to an RESP are not tax-deductible, but the government offers the Canada Education Savings Grant (CESG), matching a portion of contributions. Investment growth within the account is tax-deferred, and when the beneficiary enrolls in post-secondary education, withdrawals are taxed at their lower tax rate. Additionally, the Canada Learning Bond (CLB) offers extra grants to eligible families.
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