Stockchase Opinions

Terry Shaunessy BMO Equal Weight Utilities Index ETF ZUT-T PARTIAL SELL Sep 30, 2019

Utilities have done well because of low interest rates, but this trend won't last forever. Take some profits of this is sheltered and reinvest in a broader ETF that covers the world to achieve growth. Utilities have had a great run, paying a decent dividend, but capital appreciation will be limited.
$19.340

Stock price when the opinion was issued

E.T.F.'s
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

COMMENT

Utilities are good for yield seekers. Could look at ZWU with broader based with utilities + other dividend players as well as some US exposure. Overall, good for income.

COMMENT

XUT is market cap, ZUT is equal weighted. ZUT gives you more exposure to smaller players. HOG gives you more pipeline and energy services business, which acts similarly to utilities. It also hedges you on the downside. Could be a compliment to the other utility ETFs.

TOP PICK
These top picks are conservative calls due to the higher volatility of inflation and the markets. He often does not own the ETF's themselves but uses the underlying Futures market. Supply chain problems continue to add to the volatility. A utilities ETF is conservative since it gives reliable revenue streams, therefore higher cash flow and more resilience to global shocks.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 15/22, Down 15%)

Utility volatility impacting share price with rising interest rates.
Trying to be conservative, but will hold shares.
Duration negatively impacting duration of cash flows.


BUY

Interest rate sensitive product that can be volatile. If interest rates fall, this product will perform well. Would not recommend as a bond substitute. Next few months are a good time to add to this position. If/when interest rates fall (economic hard landing) stock will do very well. 

COMMENT
ZUT vs. ZWU

Return of 38% over 5 years, whereas ZWU has a total return of only 13%. With covered calls like ZWU, you miss out on upside over time. The underlying securities of a covered call strategy often perform a bit better. So if you don't need the income, start looking at the underlying securities.

WEAK BUY
In response to rate cuts, and some see the sector as an AI play.

If you're interested in the utilities sector, this is a good one to look at. All utilities had a big selloff when rates were rising in 2022 and 2023. Then, as interest rates went nowhere, so did the stocks, just collecting the dividend. BOC has cut twice, Fed is probably going to start. Utilities have come up off lows, but haven't started to move up yet.

There's certainly that potential there for more demand for power generation as we get into AI. It's steady growth, but a mature sector. Catalysts could be AI or EVs really taking off. Influenced quite a bit by swings in interest rates.

BUY

A non-covered call alternative to ZWT. Over the long term, outperforms the covered call on a total return basis. The better growth alternative.

For covered call strategies, always consider the yield and the source of that yield. With ZWT, you'll forego some upside if utilities markets are strong, but you get more yield on an ongoing basis. Best for ongoing yield to pay your bills.

Given the kind of market we're heading into, some strategists feel pretty good about utilities. Utilities are considered defensive, as people need to pay them whether the economy is good or bad; tend to have stable dividends.

HOLD
As interest rates fall, should I transfer from ZWU to ZUT?

You need to anticipate which direction yields will move, because the market has already priced in interest rate cuts. If rates don't fall, an interest-rates sensitive like ZWU will perform at or underperform your expectations; this has already rallied 10% in the past month. ZWU pays you more income given its covered call overlay vs. ZUT which doesn't give you extra income.

DON'T BUY
As interest rates fall, should I transfer from ZWU to ZUT?


You need to anticipate which direction yields will move, because the market has already priced in interest rate cuts. If rates don't fall, an interest-rates sensitive like ZWU will perform at or underperform your expectations; this has already rallied 10% in the past month. ZWU pays you more income given its covered call overlay vs. ZUT which doesn't give you extra income.