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Exxon MobilXOMBUYJul 28, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 28, 2026. Market Open.
Last quarter was basically in line with (slightly below by a penny or so) expectations. Hard to move the needle when you're the largest O&G company in the world. Most of these big guys are struggling with reserve lives of ~9 years. Having to go further afield for assets. Well run.
Refining margins have been very high. A more defensive play, as other names have more torque/upside.
He's been a consistent bull on this one for all of 2025. Neither the upside nor the downside of Venezuela has anything to do with that. He's bullish about the O&G industry over the next 5 years generally. Best deployer of capital among the global large caps. Really, really likes it. Would absolutely invest at current levels.
We're already seeing a catch-up trade in energy. As the Saudis cut oil production so do these companies who are managing capex well. There's a little but of M&A. Free cash flow yield is around 12% (the best sector on the S&P) for the industry even while earnings are down from last year. This is a great time to dollar-cost average on oil companies. China will stimulate its economy out of necessity (youth unemployment is too high there).